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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Don Green who wrote (66877)3/1/2001 11:05:11 PM
From: Estephen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
March 1, 2001 8:00pm

Rambus mid-quarter update yields
benign news

By Larry Barrett ZDII


Rambus' mid-quarter update after the bell
Thursday lacked the usual drama investors have
come to expect from technology companies these
days considering it didn't lower estimates for the
current quarter and had no layoffs to announce.

The chip designer held the conference call to bring
investors up to speed on its ongoing litigation with three
memory chipmakers and to trumpet news from the Intel
Developer's Forum held in San Jose, Calif. this week.

This surprising absence of bad news surely comes as a
relief to shareholders who have watched Rambus
(Nasdaq: RMBS) shares tumble from a 52-week high of
$127 a share in June to Thursday's close of $39.75.

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Drew Peck, an analyst at SG Cowen, said he was too
busying slashing estimates on the other semiconductor
companies he follows to make time for Rambus' benign
conference call.

"Right now, Rambus is the least interesting of the
semiconductor stocks I'm following," he said. "Its
outlook is completely independent from the rest of the
sector because of the litigation issues."

Chief Executive Officer Geoff Tate said Tuesday's
announcement that Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) had invested
an undisclosed amount in Samsung Electronics'
manufacturing facilities to increase production of
Rambus' dynamic RAM (DRAM) chips bodes well for
Rambus in the quarters and years to follow.

Samsung, which is the world's largest manufacturer of
Rambus DRAM chips, said it will increase its
128-megabit chip production to over 10 million units a
month starting this month, up from the 7 million units
it's currently cranking out. The South Korean firm
expects to make more than 600 million units in 2002.

"Total production could equal 300 million units for the
year," Tate said of the of Rambus' DRAM chips. "These
numbers are large and keep growing."

Rambus licenses its technology to DRAM makers such
as Samsung, Toshiba and NEC. Rambus DRAM chips
are 10 times faster than 64-megabit DRAM chips in
memory-chip performance. Sony uses the technology
in its PlayStation 2 game consoles.

"In an otherwise difficult environment for DRAM (prices),
RDRAM (Rambus DRAM) sales are on the rise," Tate
said.

Memory chipmakers have recently scaled back sales
and earnings estimates for the current quarter and fiscal
year primarily because of slumping DRAM prices.

By lowering the cost of manufacturing Rambus DRAM
chips--which communicate with chipsets inside Intel's
Pentium 4 microprocessors--PC makers hope to roll out
Rambus-based Pentium 4 systems for less than $1,000
by year's end.

Meanwhile Rambus earns a royalty of between 2
percent to 2.5 percent on each chip sold by chipmakers
such as Samsung.

It's this licensing issue--along with claims and
counter-claims of patent infringement violations--that
has Rambus tied up in courtrooms across the globe.

Rambus in court
While at least seven chipmakers have licensed
Rambus' patented technology, Hyundai, Infineon and
Micron Technology have taken the company to court,
wrangling over patent infringement and royalties issues
that will take months if not years to resolve.

Earlier this month, a trial in Germany pitting Micron and
Hyundai against Rambus was delayed for procedural
reasons. Other trials pending in California, Delaware
and Virginia are either in the early stages of discovery
or have been delayed for a variety of reasons.

In the interim, Rambus continues to rack up legal
expenses that--combined with the slowing
economy--lead executives to water down estimates for
the second quarter.

Tate said the stalling tactics and judicial
gamesmanship are just delaying the inevitable.

"The wheels of justice grind very slowly," he said. "If
(Hyundai, Micron and Infineon) have a legitimate claim,
they'd (make an effort to expedite) rather than delay the
trials for reasons that will soon become apparent.
They're simply trying to outspend and outlast us."

Following Rambus' first-quarter earnings report, Tate
said the legal costs to defend its patents against
Micron Technology, Infineon Technologies and Hyundai
would increase by $500,000 to $1 million in the second
quarter.
zdii.com
While most analysts and independent experts are
confident that Rambus' patents will hold up in court, at
least one analyst isn't taking anything for granted.

"I can't be anything but cautious at this point," Peck
said. "Every time I've tried to (predict how the courts will
rule) in the past, I've gotten my head blown off. It's not
easy to guess what a judge or a jury will do, especially
when it's a technology issue. That's the scary part."

Separately, Rambus announced that Chief Financial
Officer Gary Harmon will resign sometime this year and
that it has been searching for a replacement since
December.