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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Doug who wrote (71077)	3/3/2001 12:33:28 AM
From: Dennis O'Bell	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 99985

I'm convinced that hollywood and the recording industry will have to buy in to providing broad band to the home, or it either won't happen or will be extremely slow in coming. If you look at the audio CD, it was an amazing breakthru and happened because the music industry saw the chance to sell every recording ever made over again, and this greed overcame fears of bootlegging due to the end user medium being too high in quality. If you look at Microsoft, they have deliberately held back innovation until forced to change. Gates wanted to lock people into a stand alone desktop to maximize profits, all these stupid security bugs in windows come from this mindset and having to kludge networking onto windows in a hurry when the web took off. It takes more than the facade of making IE an "integral part" of windows to have a robust network quality os. So what could there possibly be to force hollywood and the recording industry to embrace online delivery? I just can't see anything compelling, and unless they buy in who else can finance things? There's plenty of money to be made milking zoned DVDs, why go online and risk something worse than Napster? Someone estimated that 99.7% of the bits needed to digitize the library of congress would be for films. If we could really ship images around, undreamed of applications would emerge but it could be a long wait. So that's my longwave take on bandwidth to the home, and I think tech will be in for a long slow recovery in general because of this. That's happy news for the return to mean crowd though.