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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Shack who wrote (71225)	3/4/2001 10:04:29 PM
From: Psycho-Social	Respond to of 99985

Re Historical Sentiment Data: I mentioned the 10 year figure in haste. Most of the indicators do go back before the 1990 bear market and some back before the 87 Crash. It is true that patterns in a secular Bull Market and a secular Bear Market are different. Though it's difficult and frustrating at times, I continually try to develop, refine and revise leading indicators based on demographics and the slow decision-making of long term buy and hold investors. In a bull market, the danger is getting a contrarian indicator sell signal and then having to buy back at a higher price. In a bear market, the risk is getting a buy signal and overstaying in a bear market rally. Contrarian indicators work best in a neutral market. I hope we get one. By the way, I appreciate hearing about well grounded investment approaches, whether they match my own or not.