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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: freeus who wrote (40060)3/7/2001 3:18:18 PM
From: Tom Chwojko-Frank  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
I'd love to know the future dominant in alternative energy and/or genome science. any way to discover this?

Well, other than waiting until it's already in front of you, first find the future dominant player in time travel...



To: freeus who wrote (40060)3/7/2001 4:13:01 PM
From: Tom Chwojko-Frank  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
Isn't that the whole point of gorilla gaming? You wait for the technology to cross the chasm or tornado, depending on your risk tolerance. Buy the royalty or primates in baskets. Then sell the chaff to buy the wheat as you go.

I personally don't believe there will be a dominant leader in either category. Ford, Honda, Toyota, etc. are all working on fuel cells. It doesn't seem to me that there is a single killer patentable solution to getting to mass production. It feels more like a "grind out the solution" problem. So it'll turn into pretty much the same crowd that does internal combustion. There are just too many sufficiently different solutions to the problem to protect with patents.

I think pretty much the same is true of other alternative energy sources.

I'd bet the same is true of genome science.

In both cases, I'm way out of my field and knowledge, so the time travel idea may be more practical for gleaning any information about these topics.

Tom CF