DJ MARKET TALK: The News Is Here - Don't Poke Holes In Story
07 Mar 16:20
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 4:19 (Dow Jones) That big news we've been waiting for all day has been broken...Krispy Kreme (KREM) is moving to the Big Board! That, and Yahoo!'s (YHOO) 1Q will fall short of views and Tim Koogle is giving up CEO role, according to Wall Street Journal. Big news to be sure, but an all-day halt? (TG) 4:04 (Dow Jones) If we're not careful, this rally in blue chips may stick.
Another big day for DJIA, pushed higher by HD, CAT and JPM. Also another day of sour news from tech group, yet the sector responded OK. Banks, financials act well. Just six of 30 DJIA components lose ground. Street can't wait to see what's going on with Yahoo!, while more important news will be unemployment numbers at end of week. Retail figures Thursday. DJIA gains 133 to 10724, near high of session and above resistance at 10700, Nasdaq climbs 19 to 2223, and S&P 500 gains 7 to 1261 (preliminary). Still too early to jump in completely, though; we've seen these rallies before, only to move to lower lows. (TG) 3:54 (Dow Jones) Pharmaceutical investors Wednesday heeded the words of Abby Joseph Cohen, chief investment strategist at Goldman Sachs, and sold off some of their shares in big-name drug makers. Cohen intimated investors should not continue to overweight their portfolios with pharmacueticals and biotechnology, a recommendation the investment firm made for its own model portfolio last spring. "These share prices are now appropriately reflecting the underlying fundamentals," Cohen said. (BMM) 3:48 (Dow Jones) Think the Nasdaq is shaky. Check out Japan's Nikkei, already weak and "poised for a major breakdown," say the technical analysts at Salomon Smith Barney. They see the index, now around 12700, potentially sliding below 12000, possibly toward 8000. Such a tumble would have broad economic ramifications, but could also make U.S equities appear a safer haven and also bolster the dollar as the yen weakens. (KJT) 3:40 (Dow Jones) Moody's says 17 companies worldwide defaulted on a record $10.6 billion of bonds in February. That brought Moody's global speculative-grade bond default rate to 6.61%, up from 6.26% in January and the highest level since 6.45% in June 1992. (TG) 3:26 (Dow Jones) Nymex crude, gasoline, heating oil all rise sharply going into the close as traders are said rejecting fog explanation of inventory draw.
Instead, they suspect refiners are drawing down their stocks instead of buying supply in anticipation of lower prices. "If refiners are short and locals have sniffed them out, they'll make (the refiners) pay," a trader says. Could have a panicky run-up starting today, he adds. April crude +63 cents to $29.13. (MSX) 3:19 (Dow Jones) A whopping $16.1B increase in consumer credit in January, about $10B more than expected and doubling December's $7.1B rise. Suggests that though consumers lost confidence in the economy, they weren't afraid to rack up higher credit card bills or take on new loans. But also implies that consumer getting tapped out and may have to curtail spending in the months ahead. (BB) 3:16 (Dow Jones) Shell Oil's $55-cash bid for Barrett Resources Corp. (BRR) is the third time a major oil company announced plans to acquire a U.S.-focused exploration and production company. The trend reverses a decade of divestitures by the majors, who previously cut North American exposure to bulk-up overseas portfolios. Analysts are expecting more deals ahead. Shell, itself, has indicated that even if it is successful in acquiring Barrett, it may look for other deals to improve its positions as the No. 4 U.S. gas producer. (CCC) 3:11 (Dow Jones) Greenspan urges U.S. banks not to cut off loans to creditworthy borrowers as economic growth fizzles, saying it is in their "self-interest" to make loans that pave the way for an eventual economic recovery. He's mum on the monetary policy outlook front. (FL) 3:06 (Dow Jones) Morgan Stanley analyst Henry McVey continues to be bearish on Charles Schwab Corp. (SCH). He's advising clients to stay away from the stock for now. He also said Tuesday that he expects "some sort of announcement by Schwab next week that could involve releveraging." (CWM) 2:56 (Dow Jones) Market internals on Tuesday were again indicative of an oversold rebound - volume below average and breadth mediocre. All major indexes came close to testing key overhead levels (10700 on DJIA, 1272 on S&P 500, and 2300 on Nasdaq) before pulling back. "But the fact that they did pull back indicates that those resistance levels will not go down easily," says Dick Dickson of Scott & Stringfellow. Earlier today, the DJIA also turned back after hitting 10700. (TG) 2:42 (Dow Jones) Don't look now, but the near-term economic outlook is deteriorating, says J.P. Morgan's Bruce Kasman. Despite slightly more promising tone of recent data, he suspects weakness will rotate from manufacturing to services. "The fallout from lower stock prices and rising unemployment will limit real consumer spending to only about 2% annualized growth through the fall," Kasman says. "They also will push housing down from current levels, fully offsetting the support for household outlays from lower interest rates and lower energy prices." (TG) 2:30 (Dow Jones) With Yahoo!'s (YHOO) stock and options halted, speculative investors turned their attention elsewhere. Vivendi (V), which had been rumored as a potential suitor of Yahoo!, saw the volatility associated with its March 60 puts spike significantly. "Obviously the market is bidding up these puts on the fear that Vivendi might buy Yahoo," noted Paul Foster, 1010WallStreet.com's options strategist. With Vivendi's ADS at $63.80, the March 60 puts also traded actively. (KXT) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-07-01 04:20 PM |