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Strategies & Market Trends : Three Amigos Stock Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ken W who wrote (24139)3/9/2001 12:02:19 AM
From: somatics1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29382
 
Hello all. Ken, I am surprised that you would sleep in....remember what you told me about that once a while ago? LOL. I thought of you this morning when I pulled into the thriving metropolis of Jolon...What a mecca!! At any rate, I thought I would share some charts since there has been a lot of discussion about RDRT. I posted a few days ago about the gap at 7.5 or so, so here is where I base my information from....

This first chart shows just exactly where the gap is...see it? just above 7.5

siliconinvestor.com

Look at this next chart...notice the moving averages...it's no coincidence that the 50mva is at 7.79 .

207.61.23.99

Now check out this longer and short term view of stochastics....notice that the bottoms have started to form on the shorter term and have signaled an upturn. This just happened. It takes about a day or two for the stock to react to the trend shift...Now is the time to enter, at the gap or a bounce off of the moving average. Since the gap is so close to the average, my money is at the gap.

207.61.23.99

If I sound a lot like Ken W., it's because he taught me everything I know about the market LOL.

Good Luck to all whatever your position is!!!!

George A.



To: Ken W who wrote (24139)3/9/2001 5:54:09 AM
From: Ditchdigger  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29382
 
Hello Ken, don't know much about arbs..I guess one could short the stock against the shares which would be received from the Note conversion and just collect the interest..If that were the case, I would have expect short interest to increase as the price has increased..Instead it is just the opposite, short interest of 4.26mm is at a 52 week low..
the bonds..now 10% W/ an automatic conversion clause..Regardless the market very well could take the stock down to 7.5 or so,,I'll probablky have to grab a few more shares..Going to be a wild ride today ;^(..At least we are expecting 6-12" of new snow<lol>
In March 2000, an exchange offer was completed whereby the Company offered
to issue 10% convertible subordinated notes ("10% Notes") due September 2004 in
exchange for its 6.5% Notes. Holders of the 6.5% Notes were offered the
opportunity to receive $1,000 principal amount of a 10% Note for each $2,000
principal of 6.5% Notes redeemed. Approximately $325.2 million of the existing
6.5% Notes were exchanged for $162.6 million of new 10% Notes
(nice deal for the company<g>) resulting in an
extraordinary gain of $158.6 million (net of no tax and net of
37
40
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED)

debt issuance costs written off totaling approximately $5 million).
In addition,
the Company sold an additional $61.2 million of the 10% Notes for cash and
payment of fees related to the exchange. Interest is paid semi-annually in March
and September. The 10% Notes are subordinated in right of payment to all
existing and future senior debt of the Company and any existing notes. The 10%
Notes may be redeemed at the option of the Company at any time prior to
maturity. The Company has an option to elect automatic conversion of the 10%
Notes if the stock price has averaged 200% of the conversion price for at least
20 trading days during a 30 trading day period. If the automatic conversion
occurs on or prior to March 5, 2002, the Company is obligated to pay in cash or
stock, at its option, an amount equal to two years of interest less any interest
already paid prior to the automatic conversion. In conjunction with meeting the
criteria to elect automatic conversion and the Company's decision to do so in
September 2000, the Company accrued approximately $29.3 million related to the
"make whole" provision. The 10% Notes are convertible at any time by the
noteholder at a conversion rate of 221.72949 shares per $1,000 principal amount
of 10% Notes (equivalent to approximately $4.51 per share), subject to
adjustment. As of September 30, 2000, approximately $187.5 million of the 10%
Notes were outstanding. (See Note 15.)