Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: lurqer who wrote (40121)	3/9/2001 11:40:10 AM
From: Thomas Mercer-Hursh	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 54805

I believe that while history doesn't repeat, it may rhyme. I have no problem about looking for patterns and trying to understand the forces operating within them. I do have a problem with mining a pattern and applying it to the present without recognizing that there are many, many differences in the context and forces operating now. If nothing else, the technology context is massively different and this has major impacts on virtually all aspects of the situation.

To: lurqer who wrote (40121)	3/9/2001 9:28:03 PM
From: Shane M	Respond to of 54805

Re: Dent and Economic cycles The problem I see with tying economic cycles to population ages is that today's retiring boomers will live much longer than any in history, and I expect the spending habits to be much different than any in history. Many retirees nowadays seem to be better off financially than those working. My parents for one are more free-spending now that they've retired than I can ever remember them being. I know, it's anecdotal, but I think there's considerable reason to believe it'll be different this time. Shane