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To: H James Morris who wrote (119869)	3/9/2001 1:40:18 PM
From: 16yearcycle	Respond to of 164684

Thanks. "Do you think America can bail-out the second largest economy in the world? Serious question" If the will(fed)is there, yes, but not quickly. It is very clear to me that the fed is not taking the impeding capitulation of the consumer seriously. Once it happens, we will struggle for years, and Japan can kiss their ass good bye. The fed is waiting as long as possible to flood the system with money, and then is going to use the minimum required. We are either going to come out of this and have a 1991-1997 like run(because rates will have come down slowly and then will have to stay down for years and this will ignite a multi year run), or we revisit 74-82. I haven't a clue but every day that goes by I lean more toward the 70's. I am not old enough to have seen this level of malpractice before, first hand.