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To: JRI who wrote (78170)3/12/2001 9:58:46 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 436258
 
the Loomis Sayles dude is making a common mistake: he takes the experience of the '82-2000 supercycle bull as being the 'normal' course of events. it isn't. stock market returns over that time period were extraordinary, and excessive. they are NOT the yardstick by which to measure future cause-effect relationships in the market. on the contrary, when the SnP trades at 25 times trailing earnings, history suggests a decade of severe underperformance lies ahead. irrespective of fiscal policy.