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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (11462)3/12/2001 7:57:42 PM
From: A.L. Reagan  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13572
 
Speaking of Dr. Al, I think his "higher than necessary" interest rate policy is doing evil things to other economies than ours, particularly not helpful to Japan, where strong dollar/weak yen worsens already severe problems in their banking system.

Who the hell wants to own yen?

A lot of central banks' interest rate policies tend to mirror the Fed - otherwise smaller currencies can get crushed.

Although interest rate actions can take a while to percolate through the physical asset economies, there is an instanteous effect on global currency markets. Not that this will happen, but 75 bps on 3/20 would do a world of good.

Where I am afraid Uncle Al is asleep at the wheel is that we are starting off with a U.S. capital goods recession - which invariably leads to a U.S. consumer goods recession - which invariably leads to a worldwide slowdown - but AG's publicly-focused on consumer oriented econ indicators and thinking all's not that bad.