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To: TobagoJack who wrote (79381)3/12/2001 9:57:06 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
well, low inflation is right...deflation was raging for over two years after all. Chinese economic data are suspect...i heard once that there is a way of gauging the 'real' economic growth rate via the rate of change in electricity demand...unfortunately don't recall the source of that info.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (79381)3/13/2001 7:20:25 AM
From: Earlie  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
Jay:

And your comments on;
- a banking system that is effectively bust as a result of all the old loans that are "non-performing".
- inventories that are mountainous, and dated
- rising unemployment as the government tries to shut down non-productive plants (I would guess that this is the government's major nightmare, given China's history when their people have time on their hands).
- the fact that the last time around, the Chinese stock markets were smoked, when they chased red chip valuations into the sky.
- the imploded inter-Asian trade situation. (China exported a bunch to the rest of Asia until the Asian collapse).

Would much appreciate your views as I have to deal with this stuff third hand and you are closer to the action.

Best, Earlie