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Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (12584)3/13/2001 3:35:02 PM
From: U.B. Green  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
Zeev, are you not concerned that the tax man comes on April 16 and some may have to sell stock to pay up?

Regards,
Bernie



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (12584)3/13/2001 3:41:42 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
Zeev, just read of several past calls of yours on NazComp
nice calls, good perspective, strong thinking

sure, the Fed has poured liquidity into the credit markets at a high level
but without such extreme action, interest rates would rise 25 bpt quickly
can you imagine stocks and bonds dropping simultaneously?
the liquidity additions have staved off higher TBond yields, no?
I am not so sure that liquidity will find its way into the equity markets

I have been waiting for the Dow to fall for weeks now
this lack of confirmation has been allowing Naz to slowly bleed without end
now the Dow is below its 18-month support level of 10,350-400
that support has held about 4-5 times if I am correct
now I suspect more attention will be paid to the SPX and Dow indexes
they may each rise slightly up to old support levels, then fall hard

your catalysts for the Naz to offer a decent counter-trend rally are reasonable
but the Nikkei supporting necessity seems to me to be a dream
the Nikkei must rise over 15% to stave off Japanese bank bankruptcies
and rise very fast, like in three weeks
I agree that repatriation of JYen from abroad will head into their stock market
it sure aint going toward those meagre sub-1% JGB bonds

Alan GreenMan must not have factored the Japanese stock market into his grand plans
I see a Nikkei reprieve, rising above the required 13,500 level, as a long shot
with Japanese banks failing, we could have some real trouble internationally
for five years now, Japanese banks have acted like zombies, walking dead

Monday looked like a climax to me for Naz
but perhaps six bricks blew out of the S&P and Dow walled dike

what is your take on the Naz recovering from here, in view of the SPX and Dow broken support?
much appreciated
thanks much
shalom, Jim Willie



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (12584)3/13/2001 4:23:53 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
Zeev- You have no fear about big-time selling in April...folks paying tax bills?

We've seen it the last 2 years..