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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gottfried who wrote (43672)3/13/2001 4:37:31 PM
From: Shoibal Datta  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Yes, I did see that the put/call ratio is at levels associated with a bot....er, floor. Looking good for the longs.



To: Gottfried who wrote (43672)3/13/2001 7:25:46 PM
From: Shoibal Datta  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Rhetorical question about lay-offs. If companies really believe that there is light at the end of the tunnel and things will turn around in the next 2-4 months, why are they laying off people now (at the bottom, that is)? Asyst is a small company, but has "reduced it's headcount" by 17%. One might argue that large companies are better positioned in a down-turn. Well, Cisco and Motorola are large companies. Also, Cisco has relatively large coffers. Is it possible that they think that things can get worse from here? Food for thought.



To: Gottfried who wrote (43672)3/14/2001 12:00:47 AM
From: brunn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
 
That may be the highest Put/Call since the bottom in October 8, 1998 when it reached 1.27:

cboe.com.

Interesting that the Put/Call peaked today. It would have been more appropriate for it to peak on a day of capitulation like yesterday not on a recovery day like today. A CNBC analyst early in the day actually mentioned this as a negative. I guess he meant that it is negative to have such pessimism on what appeared to be a positive day--a sign that the buying lacked conviction. Perhaps its value as a contrary indicator is most worthwhile when people are buying puts on a bad day than a good day. October 8 on the other hand was a classic capitulation day.



To: Gottfried who wrote (43672)3/14/2001 11:54:32 AM
From: Shoibal Datta  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Gottfried, CBOE Put/Call above 1 all morning, VIX peaked at 36 and change now around 34. All associated with floor-like-activity. However, markets fairly sanguine about future. I think today's ROW economic news will be the last shoe to fall. Once it is all out, digested and accounted for in the markets, then it will be safe to trust forecasts. Until then, every prediction rings hollow.