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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (81001)	3/15/2001 2:12:52 PM
From: steve susko	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

do you think dollar strength could keep gold down for a while?

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (81001)	3/15/2001 2:17:19 PM
From: JRI	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

Heinz, originally, didn't you have a retest around the 23rd...and then the rally taking off? Given the current weakness in all markets...only propped up by options ex shenanigans....how about this: Continued weakness into Fed meeting....Dow testing critical 9600-9750 levels....Naz breaking down below 1900.....Fed either disappoints (only 50 bp) or only does what's expected (only 75 bp)....hard selling post- Fed....bring pretty good capitulation......and a decent intermediate-term bottom...by Friday the 23rd.... I'm thinking we're talking a Dow 9000-9200, and a Naz near 1600 at the bottom of the fear... Without some real capitulation, I don't see the catalyst for any continued (even intermediate) upturn in prices.....too many daggers out there....not enough courage yet for any spring in prices..