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Strategies & Market Trends : Befriend the Trend Trading -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TradinSOB who wrote (16897)3/15/2001 7:29:12 PM
From: Dr. Stoxx  Respond to of 39683
 
Actually, BEAS looks pretty good in the chart you posted! Nice turns, and each profitable.

2 ways to deal with gaps:

a) don't trade stocks like BEAS that tend to gap
b) sit on your hands for 1/2 an hour at the open, and then trade whatever signal you get at 10 am...

TC



To: TradinSOB who wrote (16897)3/16/2001 2:38:16 AM
From: dougbishop  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 39683
 
Has anybody backtested that idea?

Here are some time-related backtests for QQQ 8e/13e/15min.

Hour Total Profit
09 $29.16
10 $39.77
11 $(9.89)
12 $ 5.84
13 $(20.03)
14 $31.89
15 $94.34

It appears that the majority of the money is made between 2 and close. There's also a lot to be made holding overnight and until 11 o'clock. It appears to be a wise thing to avoid the doldrums of 11 to 2.

I ran a separate test that shows that about 40 points were made in the past just following the signal overnight.

The results were similar for QQQ 8e/13s/15 min. I got the best results at QQQ 8e/12e but that is probably just data-mining.

I also tested adding another longer confirming average. It didn't hurt a lot but it didn't help.

D.



To: TradinSOB who wrote (16897)3/16/2001 5:31:38 AM
From: Dr. Stoxx  Respond to of 39683
 
It's been my experience with MAX trades that new signals generated in the last hour are frequently very profitable. And signals generated by a morning countertrend gap are among the least profitable...

TC