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To: pull_da_trigger who wrote (6955)3/16/2001 9:18:38 AM
From: Montana Wildhack  Respond to of 14101
 
PDT,

Thanks for that. I'm looking forward to it.

Here's an interesting excerpt from an ROB article
in the Globe this morning:

Market gyrations leave strategists clueless

"With the economy weak and corporate earnings estimates
in freefall, we admit that our preferred approach of trying
to construct a bottom-up, sector-by-sector forecast of S&P
earnings does not work." Edward Kerschner, UBS Warburg's
chief global strategist in New York, wrote in his latest
report this week.

"Frankly, it amounts to a pooling of ignorance - strategists
manipulating the estimates of analysts," he added, "who
are following the guidance of managements who are clueless
about the near-term course of earnings."

.........

Meantime with the huge slowdown in demand, inventories in
the US actually rose last month despite a pullback in
production.

Inventory levels along with purchasing manager trends are
two of the stronger key indicators of an economic cycle.

The end of this slowdown will be first signalled by stronger
purchasing manager numbers following several months of
inventory shrinkage.

Until that happens we are still entering the slowdown on
a timeframe basis - not exiting it.

Wolf