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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Doug who wrote (72376)3/16/2001 7:40:05 PM
From: Doug  Respond to of 99985
 
Ref # 72377 ,List updated to include last item

a:No of advances >1000 and A/D >4 for 1 of 2 days or 4 out of 7.

b: A/D >9:1

c: A/D 1: 9 heavy selling volume and a reversal resulting in A/D>9

d: Put/Call Ratio >1.0 and : Vix >40 for NYSE and Vxn > 90 for Naz

f: Trin >4.0 for NYSE and TRINQ >??

g: Daily Volatility 100 day m.a shows 2 separated peaks of about 4% on monthly chart.

h: Strong divergence shown on A/D chart, slope upwards & steady/increasing.



To: Doug who wrote (72376)3/16/2001 7:42:41 PM
From: gfs_1999  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Doug I'm adding more stuffs

a:No of advances >1000 and A/D >4 for 1 of 2 days or 4 out of 7.

b: A/D >9:1

c: A/D 1: 9 heavy selling volume and a reversal resulting in A/D>9

d: Put/Call Ratio >1.0 and : Vix >40 for NYSE and Vxn > 90 for Naz

f: Trin >4.0 for NYSE and TRINQ >??

g: Daily Volatility 100 day m.a shows 2 separated peaks of about 4%

h) McClellan Oscillator around -250 -300 we are almost there

i) Intel at 25

j) MA 10 Trin around 1,50 like 30 Oct 98 6 days before the bottom so 1,50 is enough
and right now it is at 1.45 IMO at buy point. But 97 it reached 2.0 4 days before the bottom

j) Crystal Ball stopping with his bullish messages



To: Doug who wrote (72376)3/17/2001 2:58:43 AM
From: Stephen  Respond to of 99985
 
Doug, being at the bottom of the informational foodchain so-to-speak .... I am only looking for 3 things....

1) Insider buying

2) Stock buybacks

3) Large COT reducing their shorts

I refuse to use TA or anything else ... much of what I use isn't working consistently. It may be that the market is screwed anyway. Liquiditiy has driven the market ... historically when stocks got cheap the companies bought their shares back. Now insiders are flooding the market with shares and when things improve all the IPO's that are currently getting postponed will come to market. I actually think the market has imploded .... it has become a traders vehicle and those traders have learnt to short. Until it is in the interest of the 'money' for the market to go up ... it won't.

Regards

Stephen