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Technology Stocks : Motorola (MOT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: richard w allgaier who wrote (2071)3/16/2001 11:29:33 PM
From: Sr K  Respond to of 3436
 
I think the book value is likely lower than $8. The $5B of other assets is likely worth closer to zero, so I take that out and get just over $7 (based on the 9/30/2000 10-Q, and assuming breakeven results since then), using a 2.2 B denominator. That is $15.590/2.2 = $7.09. One change around the corner is a software approach to the cellphone market, where MOT sees the importance. See latest Technology Review at www.technologyreview.com for The Universal Cell Phone.

I'm keeping my $12 target (the low a few years ago was just under $40 presplit). Annointing CLS as a savior and an expert at what Motorola thought it couldn't do so well, may well backfire, and the spiral may continue. 40% possibility of breaking $12 and if we do, 50% chance of breaking $10.



To: richard w allgaier who wrote (2071)3/18/2001 10:28:14 AM
From: Dan Hamilton  Respond to of 3436
 
Actually, my figure just came from a quick look at the balance sheet figures here on SI...
siliconinvestor.com

But the actual figure is probably lower, depending on how much goodwill they are carrying on the books. The interesting thing would be to look at the historical price to book value ratios -- when MOT gets below the historical average it should be less risky. At this point, I haven't researched it to see what that number is.