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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: marc ultra who wrote (787)	3/17/2001 5:56:17 PM
From: Gary D	Respond to of 10065

Marc, re: "So let's see. Bob is talking up the possibility of a secular bear. This cyclical bear likely not to end until 2002 or possibly later. That would mean if we don't get a good CTR and time an exit brilliantly then the next opportunity to take major precautions may not be until the top of the next cyclical bull which may be a couple of of years down the road. That's a pretty depressing thought." The alternative would be to sell not at a CTR peak, but on weakness--still before the bottom. That too is a pretty depressing thought. On perhaps a more positive note, Bob is talking that he doesn't see any case for the Naz final bottom to be materially below 1400. And he is not saying it has to go that low in order to establish a final bottom. Hey, 1400 is only 16% lower, relative to a starting point of 3000. Gary