To: American Spirit who wrote (49316 ) 3/18/2001 8:08:51 PM From: Mark Konrad Respond to of 57584 Spirit, I appreciate your thoughtful comments. Here are a few back at you. All great selloffs, 1929 included, are worth examining if only for the psychological effects on active and passive investors. The latter are beginning to be hit right now, imo, and this could continue for longer than you or I want. My wife and I have some rental property we just listed this weekend. Several of our calls have been from people who are postponing homebuying for at least a year or more because of the stock market (their downpayments are gone). Don't underestimate the ripple effect. SCNT...I traded it a few times last spring and summer with mixed results if memory serves. It's not a major player like SAPE or SEBL and may not survive the decline in IT spending. I wouldn't touch it for a while...when/if that sector recovers, SAPE and SEBL will benefit far more as they have some large accounts and are both still on fund mgrs lists (I believe). We've all jawboned the "election" endlessly. To me, there wasn't enough actual policy differences between the two to get really excited about; only a philosophical difference and perhaps a different criteria for choosing a team (new atty general vs the old one, for example). Either candidate would have inherited a slowing economy and a downturning market that started a year ago. And I think you already know I'm a conservative with Libertarian leanings. The last American leader who was able to rally the markets and the public with his charisma was Ronald Reagan so I don't think GW's style, or lack of, matters at all. Some internets have proven to be "tulips," I agree (I bought into part of the hysteria, myself). Compare them to any other fledgling industry and you'll find the same thing: lots of startups, wild speculation, and then lots of nosedives and consolidations. So we live and learn. This market will recover sooner or later but it won't make sense to buy something that's cheap just because it's cheap. There'll be some diamonds in the rough but the better companies will appreciate faster (NT vs LU, for example). Greenspan is already late to the party and I think he's admitted as much. Tuesday's rate cut and further upcoming rate cuts will help set the stage for a recovery but I'm not expecting fireworks. The USS Titanic will not sink to zero but we've already taken on a lot of water...and it's gonna take those bilge pumps some time even after the holes are patched. And as I look outside, it's another beautiful sunny day--MK--