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To: Perspective who wrote (82076)	3/18/2001 1:28:44 PM
From: Ralph W.	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

BC, tending to agree with you and am now considering some leap index puts. How do you plan on playing it? R

To: Perspective who wrote (82076)	3/18/2001 4:07:47 PM
From: Sam Sara	Respond to of 436258

>The bubble in the S&P is equal in size to the 1929 Dow bubble. This is the most disturbing thing to me. One can posit that auto stocks were the equivalent of tech in that bubble. If so, there are two alternative interpretations of where we are in the bubble deflation, looking at the charts of auto/Dow and tech/S&P500 In the first interpretation, we are somewhere in late 1930-1931 time frame. In the second, we are somewhere close to Oct 1929, and we have just started to get rowdy. Obviously, there are vast differences between the two eras, and historical echoes are imperfect. Nonetheless, I think it is, shall we say, imprudent to be long here without careful risk management.