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To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (120800)3/18/2001 10:57:24 PM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
>> glenn says he began to see it in march. bigger ticket items are slowing.

SB, Of course jewelry purchases can always be deferred. However, I read that housing and cars are still selling well. I don't think slower business investment (directly, by itself) will cause a recession. However, if it results in a higher unemployment rate, then a recession is a sure thing. So for me the critical statistic is new unemployment claims, and of course the unemployment rate.