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To: gamesmistress who wrote (1984)3/20/2001 10:15:17 AM
From: excardog  Respond to of 23153
 
Gov gas stuff (final quote says prices will be high all year)

Subj: Natural Gas Weekly Market Update
Date: 3/19/01 9:34:31 AM Pacific Standard Time
From: Antoinette.Farmer@eia.doe.gov (Farmer, Antoinette)
Sender: bounce-wngm-117553@tonto.eia.doe.gov
Reply-to: wmaster@eia.doe.gov
To: wngm@tonto.eia.doe.gov (Weekly Natural Gas Market Update)

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The spot price at the Henry Hub ended Friday, March 16, at
$4.98 per MMBtu, $0.15 less than the previous Friday while the
April futures contract settled at $5.035, $0.037 less than a week
ago. Temperatures last week in four important gas-consuming
cities were generally higher than normal (see chart) with the
upper Midwest experiencing the only notably cold weather early
in the week. An outlook for April from one private weather
forecaster indicated higher-than-expected heating demand in the
U.S. upper tier and cooling demand elsewhere in the United
States contributed to higher natural gas prices in markets that
otherwise would have weakened with the onset of spring. Prices
for West Texas Intermediate crude oil drifted down $0.30 per
barrel from the previous Friday to $27.75 per barrel ($4.78 per
MMBtu).

Storage: According to the American Gas Association
(AGA), estimated net withdrawals from working gas
inventories for the week ended March 9 were 75 Bcf,
leaving 823 Bcf in storage, which is 37 percent below the
5-year average for this week. Further, for the second
consecutive week, AGA reported that there were also
withdrawals from base gas in the Producing Region,
amounting to 3 Bcf during this report week (an estimated
4 Bcf was withdrawn during the week ended March 2).
The total withdrawal of 78 Bcf is just over 1 percent less
than the average for this week over the immediately
preceding 5 years. Storage withdrawals in the West Region
declined markedly from the estimated 13 Bcf withdrawn
during the previous report week (March 2). The estimated
drawdown of 3 Bcf is only about one-quarter of the AGA
preceding 5-year average.

Spot Prices: Spot prices at most locations followed Henry
Hub prices lower through most of the week as concerns
about the adequacy of stocks through the end of the
heating season waned. Increases on Tuesday and at the end
of the week failed to return most prices to week-ago levels.
Spot prices at the Katy, Waha, and Bondad supply hubs on
Friday were $4.97, $4.94, and $4.79 per MMBtu,
respectively, compared with $5.12, $5.07, and $4.93 a
week earlier. At the New York and Chicago citygates, the
price was $5.45 and $5.17, respectively, on March 16.
Prices in southern California continued to decline, though
by less than 30 percent with reports of injections to stocks
during the week surfacing in both the northern and
southern parts of the State. In northern California, prices
started the week at $8.39 and ended the week at $8.93 per
MMBtu, only slightly below the $9.03 in southern
California.

Futures Prices: The NYMEX futures contract for April
delivery lost $0.037 per MMBtu from the previous Friday's
settlement to end at $5.035 on Friday, March 16. A
weather forecast indicating a greater need for natural gas
for both heating and cooling in April lifted the contract
price for delivery that month by $0.124 the last two days of
the week. Contracts covering the remaining months of this
year all settled lower on a week-to-week basis, ranging
from April's low of $5.035 to December's high of $5.377.
A year ago, these contract prices ranged between $2.851
and $3.157.

Summary: With the uneventful closeout of winter thus far,
reactions to the first indications of upcoming cooling
demand are starting to take shape. Higher wellhead prices
and production rates are expected to continue through the
end of the year.