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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: edamo who wrote (34144)3/20/2001 4:53:56 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
difficult to challenge the Fed when they rely upon a pillar within their faulty economic model that maximizing employment results in rising inflation

I can see it now:
Sen Byrd pulls out his 1950's Econ Text and harangues GreenSperm

Sen Graham lectures GreenMan on the broken Phillips Curve

I hear you, Eddy
but the Federal Reserve is beyond reproach

the Fed kept raising rates several times, WITHOUT any evidence of inflation, only the EXPECTATION of future inflation by means of faulty econometric models

if you fight an inflation ghost, then you get DEFLATION
we had a taste in 1998
we will get another taste this year

the markets cast their vote after 3pm
loud and clear, unprecedented following a third rate cut

my targets: Dow 8000, Naz 1650 by spring/summer

in cash / jim



To: edamo who wrote (34144)3/20/2001 9:05:12 PM
From: FR1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
unfortunately the federal reserve reform act of 1977, ...... granted the fed the ability to conduct monetary policy ...

Correct me if I am wrong because you probably remember more of this than me, but I faintly remember that there were very big debates between congress and the FED in 1977 about exactly what their powers would be. The FED said that they wanted a completely free hand to work and any restrictions would make the whole deal meaningless. Congress, on numerous occasions during the debates, basically said to the FED "We do not want to create a situation where you go trigger happy and raise and lower rates with reckless abandon." The FED responded by saying they would only act when absolutely necessary but they did not want anything in writing because it would restrict their ability to respond to a crisis. In fact I think I remember seeing a old video clip of this where the FED responded to the question with a almost condescending remark implying "Of course we are going to be careful. Who do you think you are dealing with? We know the economy far better than you."

What has happened since then, of course, is that the FED did exactly what they said they would not do. They basically redefined their job and nobody dared call them on it.

edamo, Is this true:?
During Carter years inflation actually did get out of control. Congress fought the FED who wanted to raise interest rates because nobody in congress wanted to be on the committe that approved a raise in rates. Consequently things got out of hand. The perfect solution, in the mind of congress, was to create a law that let the FED make all the decisions. That way the FED can be blamed for anything that goes wrong and nobody in congress would lose their election over it. Hence the 1977 act.