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To: Boplicity who wrote (11760)3/21/2001 12:59:09 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 13572
 
interest rates smorgasbord:

Fed Funds rates dictate the rate of interest in overnight interbank loans among regional banks
piggybacking that FedFunds rate is the Prime Rate
I regard the FedFunds rate to serve as the basis for shorterm rates
how it compares to the free-floating 3-month Treasury Bill yield is important
the 3mo TB is the closest instrument in the free market to the overnight Fed-controlled rate
so when talking about economic effect of the Fed's misguided policy, look to the Prime Rate

credit cards (MC, VISA, Discover, Diners, AmEx) are linked to the Prime
these are revolving credit
e.g. prime plus 12%

car loans are linked to the Prime
these are 3-4-5 year loans
e.g. prime plus 4% or 5%

if you have ever bought a house, waited for yours to sell, you needed a bridge loan
these are typically 6-18 months
they operate like equity lines of credit

equity line of credit is often called a 2nd mortgage (against home equity)
these are often 10-yr loans but can also be revolving loans
they are linked to the Prime
e.g. prime plus 3%

commercial loans are taken by small, medium, and large corporations
they typically are called "commercial paper" and involve various loan schedules
e.g. 3-yr renewable, 5-yr renewable, fixed 3-5-10 yr
they are linked to the Prime, usually prime plus a varying amount
e.g. prime plus 2% for best customers with a good credit history
e.g. prime plus 4% for newer less experienced customers

however...
home mortgages are a different animal altogether
they are offered at 15-yr, 25-yr, 30-yr payment schedules
despite what bankers tell you, these are linked to 10-yr Treasury Notes
the actual instruments are called "mortgage backed securities"
almost every banker I have talked to says they are linked to the 30-yr TBond
wrong, and I love to test them, but almost never correct them of their error
so home mortgages are not influenced by the Fed and its ill-advised policies
so the housing market has been spared of carnage, FOR NOW
housing prices are far more vulnerable to unemployment nowadays
because the Fed has been screwing up policy since 1997
the Fed does not directly infuence mortgages, but via employment, affects housing prices
next asset class to get mutilated: real estate, starting at the top (over $500k)

I would be glad to answer any specifics as best I can
but I am not an expert
/ jim