SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Pastimes : Home on the range where the buffalo roam -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: No Mo Mo who wrote (11763)3/21/2001 8:37:08 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 13572
 
if you can wait on refinance, I would pull trigger about one month before the Fed Meeting where the last expected Fed rate cut might occur

Sir Lawrence of America Kudlow expects the FedFukkups to end their reign of terror with FedFunds at 3.5%
they just lowered to 5.0% yday
a long way to go
but here is my thinking
the Fed will cut until the economy responds
meanwhile, the economy will slow until the Fed has cut more
and as the economy slows, the long bond will come down some, as will 10-yr TNote
but the long bonds wont come down as much
and we will finally have a normal yield curve again

in Oct98 my mortgage was refinanced at 7.125%
the 10yr TNote yield was about 5.0% at the time
it bottomed briefly at 4.85% or so
I just missed the bottom, but was very content with it
so there is a profit spread involved

patience, laddy
/ jim