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To: Wizard who wrote (461)3/21/2001 3:23:22 PM
From: Wizard  Respond to of 499
 
Overcapacity is present everywhere;

-- =DJ Piper Cuts Tyson -2: Cites Too Many Chickens >TSN --

DES MOINES, Iowa (Dow Jones)--U.S. Bancorp's Piper Jaffray unit cut its
earnings outlook for Tyson Foods Inc. (TSN) Wednesday to 42 cents a share from
61 cents for fiscal 2001 ending in September because of an oversupply of
chickens.
Analyst George S. Dahlman also cut his estimate for Tyson's fiscal second
quarter to break-even from 9 cents a share. Tyson is the country's largest
poultry producer.
Based on "what continues to appear as an oversupplied chicken market with no
near-term turnaround catalysts in sight," the analyst also cut his earnings
estimates for the fiscal third and fourth quarters. He now expects Tyson will
earn 15 cents a share in each of the quarters. Previously, he estimated Tyson
would earn 20 cents in each of the quarters.
"Anything short of a 'mad cow' or 'foot-and-mouth' outbreak in the United
States will not likely provide a necessary short-term catalyst," Dahlman wrote.
He continues to rate the stock "neutral" with a $13 price target.
Analysts polled by Thomson Financial/First Call estimate Tyson will earn 9
cents a share for the second quarter and 54 cents a share for the year.
Dahlman told clients he wouldn't be surprised if Tyson lowered its earlier bid
of $30 a share for IBP Inc. (IBP) by $3 to $4 because of IBP's expectations that
it will earn less this year than it previously estimated.
-By Richard Gibson, Dow Jones Newswires; 515-282-6830;
dick.gibson@dowjones.com

(END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-21-01
03:14 PM- - 03 14 PM EST 03-21-01