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To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (121243)3/22/2001 9:27:53 AM
From: H James Morris  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 164684
 
From RedHerring.com:
redherring.com.

Get your Internet infrastructure cheap
By Eric Moskowitz
Red Herring
March 21

This article is from the March 20, 2001, issue of Red Herring magazine.

Is it just an exercise in the power of positive thinking, or are merger and acquisition specialists
correct that a wave of Internet deals is about to begin? Outfits like Akamai
Technologies (Nasdaq: AKAM) and Barnesandnoble.com (Nasdaq: BNBN) offer tangible assets at
reasonable prices now that their stock prices have sunk by 90 percent, and that could tempt
buyers to come a-courtin'.

By no means is everyone ready to step out on the dance floor. Potential acquirers like General
Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC are still smarting from the first round of Internet-related deals. But
what will inevitably lure potential acquirers in for a closer look, M&A insiders argue, is that some
of these Internet companies, besides trading well off their highs, have assets (triple-digit
revenue, double-digit growth, and extensive infrastructure) that are simply too compelling to
ignore.

Alberto Torres, a principal in McKinsey & Company's West Coast corporate finance and strategy
practice, insists that 'M&A will likely accelerate over the next few months, particularly if the
market settles around the current valuation levels and capital remains scarce.' More
specifically, Mr. Torres expects to see what he calls roll-up plays -- when leading vertical
players buy second- or third-tier outfits to further distance themselves from everyone else.
Based on this reasoning, it's likely that backbone operators like Akamai Technologies and
e-commerce retailers like Barnesandnoble.com will be in play.

Akamai is attractive as a roll-up because it's a fast-growing Internet infrastructure play with
concrete value. The company provides Internet content delivery systems for Web sites through
its network of servers and software, and it produces quantifiable savings for customers -- a
service that will be even more valuable as corporations tighten their IT belts. In its last
quarter, for example, the Cambridge, Massachusetts, firm said it saved Tower Records more
than $2 million and Victoria's Secret $1 million in Web infrastructure costs. Akamai's stock price
had tumbled from $305 to $9.47 as of March 19, but 'it's still generating a lot of traction among
Web sites and building a real business,' says Ray DeVoe, a technology strategist at the
financial services company Legg Mason Wood Walker.

BULKING UP
Akamai has told the Street to expect $240 million in sales in 2001, compared to $90 million last
year. The company is still in the red, but analysts say much of its infrastructure build-out is
over. That should be attractive to suitors -- plus the fact that the company has $310 million in
cash and cash equivalents and sports a market capitalization of $895.2 million, down from a
high of $35 billion.


Mr. DeVoe sees Akamai as acquisition bait for Global Crossing (Nasdaq: GX), a major player in
the Web hosting/infrastructure business. It has grown rapidly through acquisitions. Another
possibility is Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO), which is always looking to expand into new areas
and already has a strategic alliance with Akamai to develop new caching technologies.

It would be an understatement to say that Barnesandnoble.com, the company that was going
to do battle with Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN), has underwhelmed. (Its stock price was down
to $1.31 on March 19 from a high of $13.) But despite the disappointment, it still has valuable
assets, including hundreds of millions of dollars in infrastructure. At the end of 2000, according
to its latest quarterly filing, Barnesandnoble.com had no debt; $150.5 million in net fixed assets,
which included property and equipment; and $212 million in cash and marketable securities. Its
market capitalization, meanwhile, is just $213 million. 'Amazon is now ten times
[Barnesandnoble.com's] size,' Mr. DeVoe says. 'Barnesandnoble.com may just decide to give up
the fight and sell its assets.'

Although at first blush Amazon.com would seem the most likely candidate to buy
Barnesandnoble.com, Amazon.com CEO Jeff Bezos is so desperate to show a profit by year's
end that the company is unlikely to take on any significant acquisitions this year. That might
clear the way for German media company Bertelsmann to swoop in. It already owns 40 percent
of Barnesandnoble.com and is on an acquisition spree, having bought both CDnow and Random
House last fall.

Let the bargain hunting begin.