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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Paul Shread who wrote (3941)	3/23/2001 12:53:51 PM
From: Terry Whitman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

You get my vote for 'Guru of the day' for that 1750 NDX line. I don't care if you did miss by 4 pts. <g> Good points on the inverted Yield curve. I guess the Fed doesn't think as much of it as you do, or he would have been moving then. It may not have made any difference- the January cuts haven't. Whether real estate tanks or not depends on the type of downward cycle this becomes- inflationary or deflationary. History should be our best guide- and at this point, the best comparisons would be either the 1930's or the 1970's. With the lack of a gold standard- I tend to think this cycle will be like the 70's- the central banks will debase the money supply to stimulate spending, and as long as people have income- they will spend. I read that the last few weeks have seen MZM increasing at a 28% annual rate. That would bode well for real estate. I have sold all of my speculative RE, but still have some large holdings. I will look to add soon unless we see the deflationary scenario play out, which would make me hold off. Unemployment was at 25% in the 30's. I doubt we see that. ALL IMO, and of course WDIK.