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To: Boplicity who wrote (11855)3/24/2001 1:45:46 AM
From: pbull  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13572
 
At the time, we didn't realize the Fed's agenda differed from that of most Americans. I honestly believed e-commerce and video would be the killer apps on the 'Net.

Lawrence Lindsey on WSW tonight talked about the need for larger tax cuts sooner, and said that yes, in fact, parts of the country ARE ALREADY IN RECESSION.
Lou asked about the market, noting that Lindsey had gotten out some time ago. Lindsey, somewhat nervously smiled and said those decisions are best left to individuals based on their risk tolerance.
My interpretation: The average Joe should stay the heck out of the market.
I was impressed with Lindsey's candor. I really appreciate someone in that position whose message is, "Yes, it's broken, and yes, we think we can repair it, but it's going to take a while."
That's important to me. Here's why:
A longtime friend of mine needs surgery. It's not urgent, but she will need surgery soon. She has gone ahead and scheduled it for these reasons:
1. She still has a job, so her insurance will pay for it.
2. She knows the economy is in trouble, and wants to do it now in case her job disappears.

We are getting straight talk from our new administration. Now, if we only had a straight-talking Fed chairman.

PB



To: Boplicity who wrote (11855)3/24/2001 1:42:21 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 13572
 
the New Economy is so mislabeled
the structural elements and forces of the New Economy will not disappear
what will disappear and has disappeared is the illusion that valuation can ignore sensible guidelines, and that the key firms that provide NewEcon products are impervious to higher interest rates and perenniel absence of profits

this will take time, but when the recovery occurs, the NewEcon elements will be powerful and pervasive still

internet efficiencies to supply chains, order chains
broadband communications and wireless communications
ultra-highspeed networking
fiberoptic backbones and metro lines and eventually lastmile lines

it aint going away
as you say, "it didnt need to end like this"
but to me all it means is that more marginal players will die unnecessarily
a few of them might have offered significant technology or products or ideas
let's only hope those ideas remain alive, rising like a phoenix from a smoldering ash heap

I think the best ideas will survive
Yahoo is still a joke to me
these free websites and portals will learn to change and charge nominally
they must to survive, and many should survive
like many other NewEcon firms, they need a revamped business model

just some pithy thoughts

hey, nice name!?! qu'est-ce que c'est cela, mon frere?
BoPeep Simplicity Duplicity Complicity
once again, I am so confused

by the way, in your inimitable view, has a stealth tech counter rally begun?
/ jw