Risks part 2:
OUR INCREASES IN OPERATING EXPENSES MAY NOT BE OFFSET BY INCREASED SALES.
If we are not able to successfully market, sell and distribute our products in foreign markets or if certain risks and uncertainties of doing business in foreign markets prove insurmountable then these factors could have a material adverse effect on our future global operations, and consequently, on our operating margins. We do not currently have any overseas fulfillment or distribution facility or arrangement or any Web site content localized for foreign markets, and we cannot be certain that we will be able to establish a global presence. In addition, there are certain risks inherent in doing business on a global level, including:
o regulatory requirements;
o export restrictions;
o tariffs and other trade barriers;
o difficulties in staffing and managing foreign operations;
o difficulties in protecting intellectual property rights;
o longer payment cycles;
o problems in collecting accounts receivable;
o political instability;
o fluctuations in currency exchange rates; and
o potentially adverse tax consequences.
IF WE EXPERIENCE PROBLEMS WITH OUR THIRD-PARTY SHIPPING SERVICES, WE COULD LOSE
CUSTOMERS.
We rely upon third-party carriers, primarily Federal Express and UPS, for product shipments, including shipments to and from our warehouse. We are therefore subject to the risks, including employee strikes and inclement weather, associated with these carriers' ability to provide delivery services to meet our shipping needs. In addition, failure to deliver products to our customers in a timely manner would damage our reputation and brand.
OUR OPERATING RESULTS DEPEND ON OUR INTERNALLY DEVELOPED WEB SITE, NETWORK
INFRASTRUCTURE AND TRANSACTION-PROCESSING SYSTEMS. IF WE DO NOT SUCCESSFULLY
MAINTAIN OUR WEB SITE AND THE SYSTEMS THAT PROCESS CUSTOMER ORDERS, WE COULD
LOSE CUSTOMERS AND NET SALES COULD BE REDUCED.
The satisfactory performance, reliability and availability of our Web site, transaction-processing systems and network infrastructure are critical to our operating results, as well as to our ability to attract and retain customers and maintain adequate customer service levels. Any system interruptions that result in the unavailability of our Web site or reduced performance of the transaction systems would reduce the volume of sales and the attractiveness of our service offerings. This would seriously harm our business, operating results and financial condition.
We use internally developed systems for our Web site and substantially all aspects of transaction processing, including customer profiling and order verifications. We have experienced periodic systems interruptions due to server failure, which we believe will continue to occur from time to time. If the volume of traffic on our Web site or the number of purchases made by customers increases by more than two times our current holiday sales levels, we will need to further expand and upgrade our technology, transaction processing systems and network infrastructure. We have experienced and expect to continue to experience temporary capacity constraints due to sharply increased traffic during sales or other promotions, which cause unanticipated system disruptions, slower response times, degradation in levels of customer service, impaired quality and delays in reporting accurate financial information.
If we fail to maintain our Web site or toll-free call center in order to accommodate increased traffic, we may lose customers, which would reduce our net sales. Furthermore, if we fail to maintain the computer systems that we use to process and ship customer orders and process payments, we may not be able to successfully fulfill customer orders. As a result, we could lose customers and our net sales could be reduced. In addition, our failure to maintain or upgrade our Web site or these computer systems without system downtime would further reduce our net sales. We may experience difficulty in improving and maintaining our systems if our employees or contractors that develop or maintain our computer systems become unavailable to us. We have experienced periodic systems interruptions, which we believe will continue to occur, while enhancing and expanding these computer systems.
OUR FACILITIES AND SYSTEMS ARE VULNERABLE TO NATURAL DISASTERS AND OTHER
UNEXPECTED PROBLEMS. THE OCCURRENCE OF A NATURAL DISASTER OR OTHER UNEXPECTED
PROBLEM COULD DAMAGE OUR REPUTATION AND BRAND AND REDUCE OUR NET SALES.
The occurrence of a natural disaster or unanticipated problems at our leased or offsite hosting facilities that house substantially all of our computer and communications hardware systems could cause interruptions or delays in our business, destroy data or render us unable to accept and fulfill customer orders. Any of these interruptions or delays at these facilities would reduce our net sales. In addition, our systems and operations are vulnerable to damage or interruption from fire, flood, power loss, telecommunications failure, break-ins, earthquake and similar events. We have not established specific procedures for handling damage or interruptions caused by these events and our business interruption insurance may not adequately compensate us for losses that may occur. In addition, the failure by the third-party facility to provide the data communications capacity required by us, as a result of human error, natural disaster or other operational disruptions, could interrupt our service. The occurrence of any or all of these events could damage our reputation and brand and impair our business.
OUR NET SALES COULD DECREASE IF OUR ONLINE SECURITY MEASURES FAIL.
Our relationships with our customers may be adversely affected if the security measures that we use to protect their personal information, such as credit card numbers, are ineffective. If, as a result, we lose many
customers, our net sales could decrease. We rely on security and authentication technology that we license from third parties. With this technology, we perform real-time credit card authorization and verification with our bank. We cannot predict whether events or developments will result in a compromise or breach of the technology we use to protect a customer's personal information. Furthermore, our servers may be vulnerable to computer viruses, physical or electronic break-ins and similar disruptions. We may need to expend significant additional capital and other resources to protect against a security breach or to alleviate problems caused by any breaches. We cannot assure that we can prevent all security breaches.
OUR NET SALES AND GROSS MARGINS WOULD DECREASE IF WE EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
CREDIT CARD FRAUD.
A failure to adequately control fraudulent credit card transactions would reduce our net sales and our gross margins because we do not carry insurance against this risk. We have developed procedures to help us to detect the fraudulent use of credit card information. Under current credit card practices, we are liable for fraudulent credit card transactions because we do not obtain a cardholder's signature.
IF WE DO NOT RESPOND TO RAPID TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGES, OUR SERVICES COULD BECOME
OBSOLETE AND WE COULD LOSE CUSTOMERS.
If we face material delays in introducing new services, products and enhancements, our customers may forego the use of our services and use those of our competitors. To remain competitive, we must continue to enhance and improve the functionality and features of our online store. The Internet and the online commerce industry are rapidly changing. If competitors introduce new products and services, or if new industry standards and practices emerge, our existing Web site and proprietary technology and systems may become obsolete. To develop our Web site and technology entails significant technical and business risks. We may use new technologies ineffectively or we may fail to adapt our technology to meet customer requirements or emerging industry standards.
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY CLAIMS AGAINST US CAN BE COSTLY AND COULD IMPAIR OUR
BUSINESS.
Other parties may assert infringement or unfair competition claims against us. We cannot predict whether they will do so, or whether any future assertions or prosecutions will harm our business. If we are forced to defend against any infringement claims, whether they are with or without merit or are determined in our favor, then we may face costly litigation, diversion of technical and management personnel, or product shipment delays. Further, the outcome of a dispute may be that we would need to develop non-infringing technology or enter into royalty or licensing agreements. Royalty or licensing agreements, if required, may be unavailable on terms acceptable to us, or at all.
IF THE PROTECTION OF OUR TRADEMARKS AND PROPRIETARY RIGHTS IS INADEQUATE, OUR
BRAND AND REPUTATION COULD BE IMPAIRED AND WE COULD LOSE CUSTOMERS.
The steps we take to protect our proprietary rights may be inadequate. We regard our copyrights, service marks, trademarks, trade dress, trade secrets and similar intellectual property as critical to our success. We rely on trademark and copyright law, trade secret protection and confidentiality or license agreements with our employees, customers, partners and others to protect our proprietary rights. We currently have applications for registration in the United States Patent and Trademark Office, as well as various foreign trademark offices, of several of the company's trademarks. In some instances, these applications span a variety of goods and services. Effective trademark, service mark, copyright and trade secret protection may not be available in every country in which we will sell our products and services online. Furthermore, the relationship between regulations governing domain names and laws protecting trademarks and similar proprietary rights is unclear. Therefore, we may be unable to prevent third parties from acquiring domain names that are similar to, infringe upon or otherwise decrease the value of our trademarks and other proprietary rights.
THE LOSS OF THE SERVICES OF ONE OR MORE OF OUR KEY PERSONNEL, OR OUR FAILURE TO
ATTRACT, ASSIMILATE AND RETAIN OTHER HIGHLY QUALIFIED PERSONNEL IN THE FUTURE,
COULD DISRUPT OUR OPERATIONS AND RESULT IN LOSS OF NET SALES.
Our future performance will depend on the continued services of our management and key personnel and the ability to attract additional management and key personnel. The loss of the services of one or more of our key personnel could seriously interrupt our business. We depend on the continued services and performance of our senior management and other key personnel. Our future success also depends upon the continued service of our executive officers and other key sales, marketing and support personnel. Our relationships with officers and key employees are at will and none of our officers or key employees is bound by an employment agreement for any specific term. We currently have key person life insurance policies covering Kenneth E. Kurtzman and James H. Whitcomb, Jr. While the proceeds of these policies might assist us in recruiting executive officers, the proceeds would not address the potential disruption to our business of recruiting and integrating new senior management.
WE MAY NOT ACHIEVE EXPECTED BENEFITS OF ANY INVESTMENTS OR ACQUISITIONS THAT WE
COMPLETE.
As we identify appropriate opportunities, we intend to continue to make acquisitions of or investments in complementary companies, products or technologies. We may not correctly identify or realize the anticipated benefits of any acquisition or investment. For example, we may not be able to successfully assimilate the additional personnel, operations, acquired technology and products into our business. Acquisitions may further strain our existing financial and managerial controls and reporting systems and procedures. In addition, key personnel of acquired companies may decide not to work for us. These difficulties could disrupt our ongoing business, distract our management and employees or increase our expenses. Further, any physical expansion in facilities due to an acquisition may result in disruptions that seriously impair our business. We are not experienced in managing facilities or operations in geographically distant areas. Finally, in connection with any future acquisitions, we may incur debt or issue equity securities as part or all of the consideration for the acquired company's assets or capital stock. We may be unable to obtain sufficient additional financing on favorable terms, or at all. Equity issuances could be dilutive to our existing stockholders or us.
EXECUTIVE OFFICERS, DIRECTORS AND ENTITIES AFFILIATED WITH THEM HAVE SUBSTANTIAL
CONTROL OVER ASHFORD.COM WHICH COULD DELAY OR PREVENT A CHANGE IN OUR CORPORATE
CONTROL FAVORED BY OUR OTHER STOCKHOLDERS.
Executive officers, directors and entities affiliated with them, if acting together, would be able to significantly influence all matters requiring approval by our stockholders, including the election of directors and the approval of mergers or other business combination transactions.
IT MAY BE DIFFICULT FOR A THIRD PARTY TO ACQUIRE US EVEN IF DOING SO WOULD BE
BENEFICIAL TO OUR STOCKHOLDERS.
Provisions of our certificate of incorporation, our by-laws and Delaware law could make it more difficult for a third party to acquire us, even if doing so would be beneficial to our stockholders. In particular, our certificate of incorporation provides for a board of directors that is divided into three classes which may issue preferred stock without any stockholder action. Our certificate of incorporation also does not allow stockholders to act by written consent or for cumulative voting in the election of directors. In addition, Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law places restrictions on business combinations with interested stockholders.
RISKS RELATED TO OUR INDUSTRY
WE DEPEND ON INCREASING USE OF THE INTERNET AND ON THE GROWTH OF ONLINE
COMMERCE.
Our future revenues substantially depend upon the increased acceptance and use of the Internet and other online services as a medium of commerce. Rapid growth in the use of the Internet, the Web and online services is a recent phenomenon. As a result, acceptance and use may not continue to develop at historical rates and a sufficiently broad base of customers may not adopt, and/or continue to use, the Internet and other online services as a medium of commerce. Demand and market acceptance for recently introduced services and products over the Internet are subject to a high level of uncertainty and there exist few proven services and products.
In addition, the Internet may not be accepted as a viable long-term commercial marketplace for a number of reasons, including potentially inadequate development of the necessary network infrastructure or delayed development of enabling technologies and performance improvements. If the Internet continues to experience significant expansion in the number of users, frequency of use or bandwidth requirements, the infrastructure for the Internet may be unable to support the demands placed upon it. In addition, the Internet could lose its viability as a commercial medium due to delays in the development or adoption of new standards and protocols required to handle increased levels of Internet activity, or due to increased governmental regulation. Changes in, or insufficient availability of, telecommunications services to support the Internet also could result in slower response times and adversely affect usage of the Internet generally.
Our business, financial condition and results of operations would be seriously harmed if:
o use of the Internet, the Web and other online services does not continue to increase or increases more slowly than expected;
o the infrastructure for the Internet, the Web and other online services does not effectively support expansion that may occur;
o the Internet, the Web and other online services do not become a viable commercial marketplace; or
o traffic to our Web site decreases or fails to increase as expected or if we spend more than we expect to attract visitors to our Web site.
IF WE ARE UNABLE TO ACQUIRE THE NECESSARY WEB DOMAIN NAMES, OUR BRAND AND
REPUTATION COULD BE DAMAGED AND WE COULD LOSE CUSTOMERS.
We may be unable to acquire or maintain Web domain names relating to our brand in the United States and other countries in which we may conduct business. As a result, we may be unable to prevent third parties from acquiring and using domain names relating to our brand, which could damage our brand and reputation and take customers away from our Web site. We currently hold, among others, the "Ashford.com," "newwatch.com," "sunglasses.com," "TimeZone.com," "Paris1925.com," "Jasmin.com" and "Ashfordcorporategifts.com" domain names and may seek to acquire additional domain names. Governmental agencies and their designees generally regulate the acquisition and maintenance of domain names. The regulation of domain names in the United States and in foreign countries is subject to change in the near future. The changes in the United States are expected to include a transition from the current system to a system that is controlled by a non-profit corporation and the creation of additional top-level domains. Governing bodies may establish additional top-level domains, appoint additional domain name registrars or modify the requirements for holding domain names.
WE MAY NEED TO CHANGE THE MANNER IN WHICH WE CONDUCT OUR BUSINESS IF GOVERNMENT
REGULATION INCREASES.
The adoption or modification of laws or regulations relating to the Internet could adversely affect the manner in which we currently conduct our business. In addition, the growth and development of the market for online commerce may lead to more stringent consumer protection laws, both in the United States and abroad, that may impose additional burdens on us. Laws and regulations directly applicable to communications or commerce over the Internet are becoming more prevalent. The United States Congress recently enacted Internet laws regarding children's privacy, copyrights, taxation and the transmission of sexually explicit material. The European Union recently enacted its own privacy regulations. Laws regulating the Internet, however, remain largely unsettled, even in areas where there has been some legislative action. It may take years to determine whether and how existing laws such as those governing intellectual property, privacy, libel, and taxation apply to the Internet. In order to comply with new or existing laws regulating online commerce, we may need to modify the manner in which we do business, which may result in additional expenses. For instance, we may need to spend time and money revising the process by which we fulfill customer orders to ensure that each shipment complies with applicable laws. We may need to hire additional personnel to monitor our compliance with applicable laws. We may also need to modify our software to further protect our customers' personal information.
WE MAY BE SUBJECT TO LIABILITY FOR THE INTERNET CONTENT THAT WE PUBLISH.
As a publisher of online content, we face potential liability for defamation, negligence, copyright, patent or trademark infringement, or other claims based on the nature and content of materials that we publish or distribute. If we face liability, then our reputation and our business may suffer. In the past, plaintiffs have brought these types of claims and sometimes successfully litigated them against online companies. In addition, we could be exposed to liability with respect to the unauthorized duplication of content or unauthorized use of other parties' proprietary technology. Although we carry general liability insurance, our insurance currently does not cover claims of these types. We cannot be certain that we will be able to obtain insurance to cover the claims on reasonable terms or that it will be adequate to indemnify us for all liability that may be imposed on us. Any imposition of liability that is not covered by our insurance or is in excess of insurance coverage could decrease our gross profit.
OUR NET SALES COULD DECREASE IF WE BECOME SUBJECT TO SALES OR OTHER TAXES.
If one or more states or any foreign country successfully asserts that we should collect sales or other taxes on the sale of our products, our net sales and results of operations could be harmed. One or more local, state or foreign jurisdictions may seek to impose sales tax collection obligations on us. In addition, any new operation could subject our shipments in other states to state sales taxes under current or future laws. If we become obligated to collect sales taxes, we will need to update our system that processes customer orders to calculate the appropriate sales tax for each customer order and to remit the collected sales taxes to the appropriate authorities. These upgrades will increase our operating expenses. In addition, our customers may be discouraged from purchasing products from us because they have to pay sales tax, causing our net sales to decrease. As a result, we may need to lower prices to retain these customers.
RISKS RELATED TO SECURITIES MARKETS
WE MAY BE UNABLE TO MEET OUR FUTURE CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS.
We cannot be certain that financing will be available to us on favorable terms when required, or at all. If we raise funds through the issuance of equity, equity-related or debt securities, the securities may have rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of the rights of our common stock and our stockholders may experience dilution. We require substantial working capital to fund our business. Since our inception, we have experienced negative cash flow from operations and expect to experience negative cash flow from operations in the future. We have sufficient funds for our anticipated needs for working capital and capital expenditures through at least the next 12 months. After that, we may need to raise additional funds.
OUR COMMON STOCK PRICE IS VOLATILE, WHICH COULD RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL LOSSES FOR
INDIVIDUAL STOCKHOLDERS.
The trading price of our common stock fluctuates significantly. For example, since our initial public offering through December 31, 2000, the reported sale price of our common stock on the Nasdaq National Market was as high as $24.88 and as low as $0.30. Trading prices of our common stock may fluctuate in response to a number of events and factors, such as:
o actual or anticipated variations in our quarterly operating results;
o announcements of technological innovations or new products or services by us or our competitors;
o changes in financial estimates by securities analysts;
o conditions or trends in the Internet and/or online commerce industries;
o changes in the economic performance and/or market valuations of other Internet, online commerce or retail companies;
o announcements by us or our competitors of significant acquisitions, strategic partnerships, joint ventures or capital commitments;
o additions or departures of key personnel;
o release of transfer restrictions on our outstanding shares of common stock or sales of additional shares of common stock; and
o potential litigation.
In addition, the stock market has from time to time experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations. These broad market fluctuations may adversely affect the market price of our common stock. |