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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill Harmond who wrote (121847)3/27/2001 1:20:21 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Bill,
Since I was playing with Amazon's numbers I used a spred sheet and this is the cash flow from operation per their respective quarters:

Cash From Operations
(90,875) 12/31/99
(320,514) 3/31/00
(390,713) 6/30/00
(378,095) 9/30/00
(130,442) 12/31/00



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (121847)3/27/2001 2:07:20 AM
From: GST  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 164684
 
"those debts are repaid from personal earnings" Given the direction we are going, these debts are not being paid at all -- they mount at almost a billion dollars per day, every day, all year long, year after year. We are not even paying the interest. We will pay foreigners over $100 billion in interest this year and then borrow another $300 billion to allow us to spend more than we earn -- and we will, on a net basis, have very little if anything set aside as net savings. We will spend everything we earn, save nothing, put some money into stocks and then borrow $400 billion from foreigners (including borrowing more principal to pay the interest on the current foreign debt) so we can spend even more than we earn. In the decade we are currently in, that is likely to amount to roughly $5 trillion dollars that we will spend beyond what we earn, and we will save nothing. Add this to the trillions we already owe, which we service by borrowing more money, and you have a problem -- it just gets bigger when you deny it. Many people will say the answer to our economic situation is for AG to focus on the stock market -- bail us out AG. It can be done. But the real issues in our economy are not going to be solved by lower interest rates, more spending, and stock speculation. Our problems can only be solved by teaching Americans that it is smart to live within your means and put a little money away as savings. Listen to AG's speeches -- listen carefully. Every day AG has a new opportunity to shift the balance in favor of keeping money on the sidelines -- and every day AG does that, he is doing a good job -- maximizing the long term growth potential of our economy without creating a catastrophic current account deficit. We must save.



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (121847)3/27/2001 2:30:24 AM
From: GST  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Bill: "The car is paid off over a few years from personal income (most likely wages) and there is no more debt left" We are talking national accounts -- it is easy to see that what you are saying is totally false. Our new indebtedness will increase by $400 billion this year -- that is an additional $1,750 in foreign debt per US working person for just one year -- add that to the tab for the past 30 years. Each of us, on average, will spend $1,750 dollars more than we earn by borrowing more from foreigners -- those are the facts Bill. We might not know we are doing it. People like you might not care. ("What, me worry?") People like you might think "screw it, lets just get those damn interest rates down and spend some more! Saving money? That is for losers like the Japanese -- what suckers they are to lend us the money! Lets just buy more BRCD and pump the price up." But somewhere down the road the bills will get paid -- who will pay them? Your children? BTW, if you think I am pro Japanese, think about this. At the worst of the Japanese bubble people were willing to pay anything for Japanese real estate. Families took out 100 year mortgages-- inter-generational loans. Now the real estate is worth far less than the loans, but the Japanese do not like declaring bankruptcy so they dutifully meet their obligations. The debt only goes away if you default -- is that the future of the US Bill? Default? Otherwise somebody will pay -- our children.



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (121847)3/27/2001 7:14:47 AM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz  Respond to of 164684
 
>> We've had a current account deficit with Japan for thirty years. .......

Very well said, William. Now if you just apply this sort of analysis to stocks, ...... Oh, well, no one is perfect!