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To: Perspective who wrote (85964)3/27/2001 2:50:41 AM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
Fannie Mae goes a-yackin' on the Hill:

nytimes.com

This part sounds like complete and unwashed bull$hit:

Fannie Mae said it also passed an interim version of a capital stress test -- it would survive under models assuming depression-like economic conditions for 10 years. The test assumes interest rates six percent higher than the current level and no new business for a decade.

Notice that they don't address what happens with a high level of repayment failures/delinquincies and foreclosures coupled with increased prepayments...a situation that might be seen were rates to fall, as in a deflationary recession. The biggest threat is to their clearly inadequate reserves relative to the loans they (and inferentially, "we" the taxpayers) are guaranteeing. That's the biggest threat to FNM...and it appears to be ignored (?intentionally) in their risk modeling.



To: Perspective who wrote (85964)3/27/2001 10:00:27 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 436258
 
note that these are job cuts affecting production facilities in several different countries.

aside from that though, i hereby predict that unemployment will rise sharply, and it will do so at surprising speed.