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To: ColtonGang who wrote (19802)3/28/2001 4:12:38 PM
From: t2  Respond to of 24042
 
Oil inventories spiked up yesterday more than expected late Tuesday. It was probably another big factor price drop in oil.

Here is the link thestreet.com
Click on "API Crude Inventories" under SECTOR DRIVERS MENU.

If slowdown continues, expect lots of aggressive rate cuts. That positive sentiment indicator probably was inaccurate as we get more and more data.



To: ColtonGang who wrote (19802)3/28/2001 6:44:39 PM
From: zbyslaw owczarczyk  Respond to of 24042
 
re:crude oil has sold off
nonsense, the real reason for sell off in oil is that yesterday report showed bigger then expected inventory in US, and oil was down AH yesterday.
Sometimes is worth to pay attention to real reasons, not
trading news from the floor.

ZO



To: ColtonGang who wrote (19802)3/28/2001 6:52:51 PM
From: zbyslaw owczarczyk  Respond to of 24042
 
Crude Oil Slumps as Record Imports Send U.S. Inventories
Higher
By Mark Shenk

New York, March 28 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil slumped more than 5 percent, the biggest drop
since early December, after a greater- than-expected rise in U.S. inventories signaled ample
supplies for refiners in the weeks ahead.

Inventories rose 3 percent to 302.6 million barrels in the week ended March 23, the American
Petroleum Institute said late yesterday. It was the third straight week that supplies rose by at
least 8 million barrels. The increase was propelled by record daily imports of 10.24 million barrels
and a lower refining rate.

``These are very impressive numbers, especially the imports,'' said Bill O'Grady, director of
fundamental futures research at A.G. Edwards & Sons Inc. in St. Louis. ``It's pretty unusual to
build supplies so fast.''

Crude oil for May delivery fell $1.44, or 5.2 percent, to $26.25 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange, the biggest one-day drop since Dec. 5. The decline wiped out gains made during the
previous three sessions.

In London, Brent crude oil for May settlement fell 62 cents, or 2.4 percent, to $25.27 a barrel on
the International Petroleum Exchange.

The 8.86 million-barrel rise in crude oil stockpiles last week was above the gain of 200,000 to
800,000 barrels expected by analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

U.S. inventories fell to a 27-year low earlier this month and have gained in three consecutive
weekly reports since then. Supplies now are 4.5 percent higher than they were at this time last
year.

U.S. refineries ran at 89.5 percent of their capacity last week, down 1.8 percentage points from
the week before, as some companies carried out annual maintenance programs. The production
rate will increase in coming weeks as refiners build up gasoline stockpiles for the summer vacation
season, traders said.

OPEC Production

Earlier this month, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, which pumps about 40
percent of the world's oil, said it would trim production quotas for a second time this year. The
producers have cut the quotas by a total of 9.4 percent to prop up prices.

Crude oil inventories may start to fall again once refiners start to build up gasoline supplies, said
William Brown, president of consultants W.H. Brown & Co. in New York.

``We could see $30 crude oil by Memorial Day because we will have the OPEC cuts and a
slowdown in North Sea production due to maintenance,'' Brown said.

The holiday at the end of May is the traditional start of the summer vacation season in the U.S.,
when gasoline demand peaks.

The API report showed drops in inventories of petroleum products, including gasoline and heating
oil. Prices for both opened higher but changed direction as the day progressed.

``With the huge build in crude, the products couldn't sustain their rise,'' said Donald Luke, a trader
and vice president at Fimat USA Inc. in New York.

Gasoline for April delivery fell 2.93 cents, or 3.1 percent, to 91.02 cents a gallon on the Nymex,
the first drop in six sessions. Gasoline is still up 16 percent this year.

Heating oil for April delivery fell 2.87 cents, or 3.7 percent, to 75.07 cents a gallon on the Nymex.
Prices have fallen 17 percent this year.