SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jan Crawley who wrote (4462)3/29/2001 10:28:40 AM
From: dennis michael patterson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Now I feel safe. Thanks. And by "untouchable", do you mean you won't sell at all? LT buy and hold?



To: Jan Crawley who wrote (4462)3/29/2001 11:46:04 AM
From: sirinam  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Jan

I use another strategy on CSCO building positions by selling uncovered puts for Jan 2002., averaging down on the way. I select real battered stocks or lowest PE stocks to get a chance of cashing free money on lower strikes but being exercised on upper strikes. Example:

Recent transaction on Csco
Strike 20 I sold @ 4.25 8 days ago. If exercised my net cost
become 15.75.
Strike 15 I sold at 3.125 this morning. If exercised my cost
will become 11.875.

My bet is by Jan 2002 i might have been exercised on upper strikes, but the rest will be free money to average down my cost. Good chances the market has recovered a bit by Jan2002.

Supposed i get exercised on the 20 strike by then,but not on the 15 strike, my cost will be 20 less 4.25 less 3.125 equal 12.625 (less commissions).

I might have to sell puts at 10 (let say I get $2.50 whenever CSCO eventually trade at $11-$12):
Supposed i get exercised on the 15 and 20, my cost will be $20 plus $15 =average $17.50 a share less value of puts sold $4.25 less $3.125 less $2.50 equal $7.625 (less commissions).

I can increase exponentially the number of puts sold on the way down to almost get shares for free. LOL

The market might just recover and I end up not being exercised, not having CSCO shares in my hands for the upturn (losing potential profit) but at least having premiums of $9.875 (less commissions).

Need good accounting to manage that stuff though. Margin decrease by:
100% of bid of the put,
plus
25% of closing price of the inherent stock
less
value of inherent stock less strike( if value>strike)
Not a big deal to carry over if you re 100% cash.

This strategy help me not to try to pick unsuccessfully the bottom, get frustrated and can continue day trading peacefully.

Whenever the market turn for good (higher highs,higher lows), i will buy shares then, cup and handle pattern, not before.

I might also buy back those puts at ridiculous prices (VXN low, time get close to Jan 2002 )if big upturn to get margin free, but don`t expect it will happen <ggg> Expect just a slight recovery and January effect to play with me.

Just an idea for thought.I do not intend to show people how to make money on this thread since i learn a lot from all folks here.Just an idea to explore. Sorry for syntax (French speaking here)

Sirinam