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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (3617)3/29/2001 5:00:17 PM
From: Logain Ablar  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
We'll as for a catalyst I still think AG will coordinate with other central bankers a rate cut. Unfortunately this too is going to take a catalyst. Remember the DOW 10 year chart. We'll back in the 7,600 to 8,000 range may get his attention. I could be dreaming since he should have started cutting in November (actually he shouldn't have done any in May but we won't go on how he made mistakes throughout the campaign).

This is not a hope on my part its just with $4 trillion gone into money heaven in the NAZ the ramifications on the economy have not even begun to be felt. I still feel the market bubble was created by the credit bubble not the other way around and with the market burst its only a matter of time before the credit starts to kick in. In the NE it was over a year from the 87 crash to when those outside the banks started to see the impact on the banking system.

Consumer confidence was up in February but who is surprised (besides the analyst and economists) after the market rebound in January. It is a lagging indicator. Wait till the March & April #'s come out. As more lose their jobs the impact will start to filter thru. As long as companies don't have visability they will cut expenses. Remember the CEO wants the bonus (as well as have his company survive it times become too difficult) and if revenues continue to drop he will force expensitures down and this always means head count reductions.

So if he wants to save the economy he has to cut rates more.

JMHO of course.

Who is godot?