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To: Ally who wrote (48990)3/30/2001 4:07:07 PM
From: bigbuk  Respond to of 62348
 
who cares ally where you go or anyone else

facts remain

the sheep always follow LIttle bo PEEP



To: Ally who wrote (48990)3/30/2001 4:13:57 PM
From: bigbuk  Respond to of 62348
 
GOOD READ VERY GOOD

SEC's Unger Orders Review of Internet Stock Pickers
Philadelphia, March 30 (Bloomberg) -- The Securities and Exchange Commission will start looking for operators of Internet stock-picking sites who might be preying on investors eager to recover from falling stock prices, acting SEC Chairman Laura S. Unger said.

``We think there's a chance stock gurus may redouble their efforts and hit on investors looking to recoup their losses,'' Unger said in a speech to the Philadelphia Bar Association.

Some investors may be refusing to sell their stocks because they don't want to admit they've lost money, Unger said. The acting SEC chief said she has asked the agency's enforcement division to look for stock pickers who ``might be using a spin such as `This is the only stock that will go up. Buy it to round out your portfolio.' ''

Separately, Unger said the SEC, which has announced a moratorium on rulemaking until a permanent chairman is appointed, is reviewing ``non-controversial'' administrative rules that might be adopted so the agency ``can perform housekeeping.''

As examples, she cited rules that to help implement the new Gramm-Leach-Bliley law, passed last year, to pare down Depression- era rules that limited banks' ability to sell securities and insurance.

A year and a half ago, SEC enforcement director Richard Walker said his division was taking a comprehensive look at Internet stock pickers. That review led to fraud charges against ``Tokyo Joe'' Park, perhaps the best-known of the Web's stock gurus. Park, whose real name is Yun Soo Oh Park, agreed earlier this month to pay $754,630 to settle the SEC case.

In that case, the SEC alleged that Park urged investors to buy stocks without disclosing that he owned the securities and planned to sell them.

Unger said she requested the latest review ``to make sure this is still on the staff's radar screen.'' Because the bull market of a year ago has reversed course, ``there could be a different type scenario being used by stock pickers,'' she said.

Unger, 40, a Republican, has been acting chairman since Arthur Levitt resigned on Feb. 9. Levitt's replacement will be nominated by president George W. Bush and approved by the Senate.

Mar/30/2001 15:40 ET



To: Ally who wrote (48990)3/30/2001 4:19:22 PM
From: bigbuk  Respond to of 62348
 
Excellent week this week.
NT helped nicely as well

Looking for more RED next week

just remember if you shorting be onguard a rally can pop up at any moment and we are over due I will agree.

BUT OVER ALL WE GOING DOWNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN

HOPE everyone including the touts had a great week.

ciao



To: Ally who wrote (48990)3/31/2001 9:04:03 AM
From: bigbuk  Respond to of 62348
 
Though humbling, taking losses can make sense

TIM CESTNICK

Saturday, March 31, 2001

I was humbled again this week -- not once, but twice. On the first occasion I found myself in a hotel gym in Calgary, running on the treadmill.

I had stepped up the pace to a neck-breaking five kilometres an hour (just enough to outpace the elderly man to my right) when I heard a familiar voice.

I glanced up at the TV in front of me, and there I was, talking about registered retirement savings plans on CBC's Money Weekly -- a show on which I appear each Saturday. As I listened, nodding in agreement with everything I was saying, the tough looking woman to my left grabbed the TV remote from my treadmill and changed the channel.

"I hate money shows," she growled.

"Uh, me too," I stuttered in terror. Hey, who am I to pick a fight with a woman wearing a tattoo on her back that says "Die Hard"? So, I finished my run watching WWF wrestling. Humbling.

On the second occasion, I was bragging to my father-in-law about how I bought Nortel at $31 recently. No sooner had I opened my mouth than Nortel announced weakened earnings expectations and the stock tumbled.

I've lost big bucks in just three weeks. Humbled again.

Have you been humbled by losses recently?

In my last article I talked about the importance of thinking twice before you trigger those losses this time of year.

Now, I want to talk about those circumstances where it can make sense to sell those losers today. There are four of these situations. Here they are:
1. You don't like the investment anymore.

Take a look at that loser investment in your portfolio that is causing you the grief.

The stock or mutual fund has dropped in value. At one time you felt good about the prospects of the stock or fund. How do you feel today about the future prospects of the investment?

If the fundamentals of the investment haven't changed, maybe you're still convinced the investment will rebound. If you're convinced, however, that the future is not bright, this is reason enough to sell today -- even at a loss. That capital loss could save you tax down the road.
2. You reported net capital gains in the past three years.

Remember, capital losses must first be applied against capital gains from the same year.

To the extent you've got excess capital losses, they can be carried back three years or forward indefinitely.

There's no harm in triggering losses today if you know you've got gains from a previous year that you can apply those losses against.

In fact, you'll save more tax by applying your losses to gains in 1999 or previous years than you will by carrying those losses into the future. Why? Because the capital gains inclusion rate was lowered in 2000.

Today, just 50 per cent of capital gains are taxable. So, if you trigger net capital losses in 2001, you'll save more tax by applying those losses against gains reported in 1998, 1999, or perhaps 2000.
3. You've got an alternative investment in mind.

Even where you like the future prospects of the investment you're holding, selling at a loss can still make sense where you can find a similar investment that you expect to rise in tandem with the loser you're holding. I was considering, for example, selling my Nortel shares for a loss, and then buying shares of Cisco Systems in place of my Nortel. If you believe these two stocks will move in tandem with each other, this could make sense.

You've got to be careful about selling your loser and then reacquiring the identical investment within 30 days. In this case, the superficial loss rules will deny use of the loss until you sell the newly acquired investment. Buying a similar investment (or buying the same investment inside your RRSP), however, will not cause a problem.
4. You don't mind waiting 30 days before reacquiring.

If you're confident about the future prospects of that investment that has dropped in value, you could sell it today, wait until 30 days have passed, and then reacquire the identical investment. This will trigger a capital loss that can be used to offset gains. This idea, however, takes a strong stomach and lots of testosterone.

You run the risk of selling at a loss today and having the investment rise in value between now and the reacquisition date, which will generally leave you worse off than if you had just held the investment.

You might also give consideration to transferring unrealized capital losses to your spouse if he or she will be able to use them sooner. My article dated May 24, 1997, details how this is done.

You can find the article at waterstreet.ca.
Tim Cestnick, CA, CFP, TEP is author of Winning The Estate Planning Game, Winning The Tax Game 2001, and is president of The WaterStreet Group Inc., a firm affiliated with the Berkshire Group of Companies. He can be reached by e-mail attim@waterstreet.ca



To: Ally who wrote (48990)4/1/2001 10:18:55 AM
From: bigbuk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 62348
 
businesscycle.com

he institute's prediction of recession is based on several leading indicators, including a sharp deterioration in future employment. Overall, the institute sees the resilient service sector as likely to weaken and join manufacturing in a recession.
The institute also has officially announced it expects Japan to go into a recession this year.
Since the U.S. and Japanese economies account for almost half of the total world output, this means there is an increasing chance of the first worldwide recession since 1973-75. Both Canada and Mexico, two major trading partners with the United States, would be dragged into recessions, as would the export-dependent Taiwan and South Korea.

Data
ECRI maintains over 100 proprietary indexes for over a dozen major economies. These indexes help form the foundation for our cyclical analysis and forecasting. Our index data and outlook are available by subscription. The countries covered fall into the following regions:

North American European Asia Pacific Global Aggregate

Free ECRI data Level Growth Rate Period Ending
Weekly Leading Index 120.7 -4.9% March 23, 2001
Weekly Leading Index (Monthly) 121.2
-4.8% February
Coincident Index 136.5 0.5% February
Lagging Index 144.8 4.3% February
Future Inflation Gauge 111.3 -12.7% February
JOC-ECRI Price Index Latest Daily Data


Release dates for 2001

NORTH AMERICAN INDEXES Comments
North American Coincident Index Coincides with cycles in NAFTA economic activity
North American Long Leading Index Has a long lead over the NAFTA economic activity
UNITED STATES Comments
Future Inflation Gauge Leads inflation cycles
JOC-ECRI Industrial Price Index Coincides with cycles in sensitive industrial materials prices
Coincident Employment Index Coincides with cycles in employment activity
Leading Employment Index Leads cycles in employment activity
Unemployment Severity Index Measures the severity of unemployment
Lagging Index Lags business cycles
Coincident Index Coincides with business cycles
U.S. Leading Diffusion Index Has a short lead over business cycles
Short Leading Index Has a short lead over business cycles
Weekly Leading Index Has a moderate lead over business cycles
Long Leading Index Has a long lead over business cycles
Coincident Services Index Coincides with service sector activity
Leading Services Index Leads service sector activity
Coincident Financial Services Index Coincides with financial services activity
Leading Financial Services Index Leads financial services activity
Coincident Manufacturing Index Coincides with manufacturing sector activity
Leading Manufacturing Index Leads manufacturing sector activity
Coincident Construction Index Coincides with construction sector activity
Leading Construction Index Leads construction sector activity
Leading Housing Price Index Leads cycles in U.S. housing prices
Expected Growth Gap (US - World) Leads cycles in the normalized capital account balance
Leading Imports Index Leads cycles in imports
Leading Exports Index Leads cycles in exports
Leading Trade Balance Index Leads the trade balance cycle
Leading Credit Index Leads the credit cycle
CANADA Comments
Canadian Coincident Index Coincides with Canadian business cycles
Canadian Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Canadian business cycles
MEXICO Comments
Mexican Coincident Index Coincides with Mexican business cycles
Mexican Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Mexican business cycles


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EUROPEAN INDEXES Comments
European Coincident Index Coincides with European economic activity (7 countries)
European Long Leading Index Has a long lead over European economic activity (7 countries)
Eurozone Coincident Index Coincides with Eurozone economic activity (4 countries)
Eurozone Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Eurozone economic activity (4 countries)
GERMANY Comments
German Future Inflation Gauge Leads German inflation cycles
German Coincident Index Coincides with German business cycles
German Long Leading Index Has a long lead over German business cycles
FRANCE Comments
French Coincident Index Coincides with French business cycles
French Long Leading Index Has a long lead over French business cycles
UNITED KINGDOM Comments
U.K. Future Inflation Gauge Leads U.K. inflation cycles
U.K. Coincident Index Coincides with U.K. business cycles
U.K. Short Leading Index Has a short lead over U.K. business cycles
U.K. Long Leading Index Has a long lead over U.K. business cycles
ITALY Comments
Italian Coincident Index Coincides with Italian business cycles
Italian Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Italian business cycles
SPAIN Comments
Spanish Coincident Index Coincides with Spanish business cycles
Spanish Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Spanish business cycles
SWITZERLAND Comments
Swiss Coincident Index Coincides with Swiss business cycles
Swiss Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Swiss business cycles
SWEDEN Comments
Swedish Coincident Index Coincides with Swedish business cycles
Swedish Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Swedish business cycles


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ASIA-PACIFIC INDEXES Comments
Asia-Pacific Coincident Index Coincides with Asia-Pacific economic activity
Asia-Pacific Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Asia-Pacific economic activity
JAPAN Comments
Japanese Future Inflation Gauge Leads Japanese inflation cycles
Japanese Coincident Index Coincides with Japanese business cycles
Japanese Leading Diffusion Index Has a short lead over Japanese business cycles
Japanese Short Leading Index Has a short lead over Japanese business cycles
Japanese Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Japanese business cycles
Japanese Coincident Manufacturing Index Coincides with Japanese manufacturing sector activity
Japanese Leading Manufacturing Index Leads Japanese manufacturing sector activity
INDIA Comments
Indian Coincident Index Coincides with Indian business cycles
Indian Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Indian business cycles
KOREA Comments
Korean Coincident Index Coincides with Korean business cycles
Korean Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Korean business cycles
AUSTRALIA Comments
Australian Coincident Index Coincides with Australian business cycles
Australian Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Australian business cycles
TAIWAN Comments
Taiwan Coincident Index Coincides with Taiwan business cycles
Taiwan Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Taiwan business cycles
NEW ZEALAND Comments
New Zealand Coincident Index Coincides with New Zealand business cycles
New Zealand Long Leading Index Has a long lead over New Zealand business cycles
JORDAN Comments
Jordanian Coincident Index Coincides with Jordanian business cycles
Jordanian Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Jordanian business cycles
CHINA Comments
Chinese Coincident Index Coincides with Chinese business cycles
Chinese Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Chinese business cycles


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GLOBAL AGGREGATE INDEXES Comments
16-Country Coincident Index Coincides with 16 Country economic activity
16-Country Long Leading Index Has a long lead over 16 Country economic activity
15-Country (excl. U.S.) Coincident Index Coincides with 15 Country (excl. U.S.) economic activity
15-Country (excl. U.S.) Long Leading Index Has a long lead over the 15 Country (excl. U.S.) economic activity
Manufacturing Related Diffusion Index Leads cyclical turns in global manufacturing growth
Financial Related Diffusion Index Leads cyclical turns in the MRDI
North American Coincident Index Coincides with cycles in NAFTA economic activity
North American Long Leading Index Has a long lead over the NAFTA economic activity
European Coincident Index Coincides with European economic activity (7 countries)
European Long Leading Index Has a long lead over European economic activity (7 countries)
Eurozone Coincident Index Coincides with Eurozone economic activity (4 countries)
Eurozone Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Eurozone economic activity (4 countries)
Asia-Pacific Coincident Index Coincides with Asia-Pacific economic activity
Asia-Pacific Long Leading Index Has a long lead over Asia-Pacific economic activity


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