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To: Mike Buckley who wrote (41221)3/31/2001 4:00:57 AM
From: ratan lal  Respond to of 54805
 
Mike

If we are to believe Suria, and I do believe him, then a recession is coming for sure (we are already in one by my undefined definition).

And if a recession is coming, the valuation of the companies, at least the ones sporting big p/e ratios is going to be hit.

In addition to what Suria said, I also see major problems being caused by the high prices of gas and electricity which will take away some discretionary spending by consumers.

Soon as I have some more confidence in these scenrios, I will go to cash. It may take some time though to do the due diligence and convince myself that that is the right thing to do.