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To: Les H who wrote (73666)3/30/2001 9:01:34 PM
From: Chuck Williams  Respond to of 99985
 
God help us.



To: Les H who wrote (73666)3/31/2001 11:19:13 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Not many rate cuts left in the cards

quote.bloomberg.com

What will the Fed do next?

thestreet.com

What to do with Cisco

money.com

Optical networking giants face downturn

infoworld.com

VIX behavior in bull and bear markets

schaeffersresearch.com



To: Les H who wrote (73666)3/31/2001 8:14:57 PM
From: John Madarasz  Respond to of 99985
 
Les... I didn't buy it when they got bullish too early.

1400-1500 support on the NDX... huge head and shouldrs measurement of apx. 1300 from May of '99



To: Les H who wrote (73666)3/31/2001 10:23:50 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Market/Sector Breadth Journal: March 30, 2001 (3486 stocks)

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Mar 30 56 37 27 38 1122 - 547 794 - 352 339 - 325 82 - 164
Mar 29 43 26 22 36 605 - 930 352 - 685 149 - 618 56 - 280
Mar 28 42 24 21 36 430 - 764 233 - 614 100 - 542 38 - 201
Mar 27 60 33 25 38 1302 - 284 611 - 245 223 - 202 51 - 68
Mar 26 44 25 22 37 791 - 375 397 - 300 155 - 254 37 - 80
Mar 23 33 20 18 34 695 - 529 289 - 471 119 - 394 20 - 106
Mar 22 19 15 16 32 321 - 1678 130 - 1560 61 - 1315 11 - 352
Mar 21 16 16 19 35 229 - 1623 76 - 1501 49 - 1279 15 - 411
Mar 20 18 19 23 37 338 - 1156 109 - 1021 73 - 827 22 - 281
Mar 19 22 22 26 39 555 - 670 190 - 595 120 - 492 33 - 150
Mar 16 13 16 23 37 135 - 1790 73 - 1614 44 - 1280 15 - 399
Mar 15 17 20 27 39 210 - 1202 133 - 951 68 - 733 14 - 206
Mar 14 17 20 28 39 119 - 1825 88 - 1326 43 - 1075 10 - 243
Mar 13 27 28 34 41 232 - 1157 154 - 779 80 - 605 26 - 153
Mar 12 25 27 33 41 129 - 2130 91 - 1554 62 - 1287 24 - 397
Mar 9 43 38 42 45 420 - 1159 327 - 787 216 - 681 93 - 218
Mar 8 56 44 46 46 905 - 615 676 - 445 410 - 390 148 - 128
Mar 7 61 45 48 46 1218 - 435 836 - 313 460 - 253 164 - 58
Mar 6 56 40 47 45 1085 - 469 639 - 321 315 - 256 107 - 53
Mar 5 46 36 44 44 740 - 740 463 - 546 292 - 467 107 - 122
Mar 2 42 33 43 44 806 - 718 446 - 606 295 - 529 100 - 157
Mar 1 32 29 41 44 501 - 956 254 - 835 165 - 689 57 - 144
Feb 28 31 28 42 44 512 - 1065 249 - 959 164 - 812 62 - 200
Feb 27 31 30 44 44 487 - 870 232 - 769 164 - 628 52 - 148
Feb 26 37 35 49 45 769 - 434 409 - 362 267 - 276 78 - 60
Feb 23 21 26 43 42 243 - 1321 155 - 1100 105 - 797 30 - 122
Feb 22 20 27 44 43 207 - 1689 146 - 1374 106 - 1032 34 - 152
Feb 21 24 31 48 44 279 - 1778 207 - 1406 155 - 1042 64 - 182

Market Index Breadth

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
S&P 500 1160 63 39 29 51 181 - 59 128 - 36 33 - 35 10 - 14
S&P 100 591 64 34 23 36 27 - 12 18 - 8 3 - 8 1 - 2
NDX 100 1573 34 20 8 16 10 - 30 6 - 18 0 - 18 0 - 15

S & P 500

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Mar 30 1160 63 39 29 51 181 - 59 128 - 36 33 - 35 10 - 14
Mar 29 1147 55 28 25 48 138 - 97 80 - 72 29 - 67 8 - 29
Mar 28 1153 53 23 22 49 99 - 83 49 - 68 18 - 65 6 - 15
Mar 27 1182 67 31 25 52 223 - 30 95 - 27 27 - 23 6 - 1
Mar 26 1152 44 20 22 51 104 - 30 40 - 25 14 - 19 1 - 3
Mar 23 1139 24 13 15 43 74 - 85 37 - 76 16 - 65 1 - 7
Mar 22 1117 15 10 13 39 49 - 317 18 - 297 10 - 255 1 - 24
Mar 21 1122 10 13 20 46 22 - 264 7 - 254 5 - 209 1 - 33
Mar 20 1142 13 18 27 52 55 - 181 11 - 160 9 - 129 2 - 30
Mar 19 1170 16 22 30 54 70 - 70 20 - 66 14 - 58 2 - 5
Mar 16 1150 8 15 26 51 13 - 264 6 - 238 3 - 174 1 - 31
Mar 15 1173 11 19 32 54 12 - 171 9 - 134 4 - 91 1 - 18
Mar 14 1166 9 16 31 53 4 - 347 2 - 242 1 - 184 0 - 14
Mar 13 1197 21 32 41 58 12 - 218 8 - 127 4 - 83 1 - 6
Mar 12 1180 28 37 44 58 10 - 310 8 - 200 5 - 171 0 - 40
Mar 9 1233 56 54 54 64 61 - 123 51 - 84 43 - 74 15 - 20
Mar 8 1264 73 65 62 67 234 - 41 200 - 29 143 - 24 49 - 7
Mar 7 1261 70 59 59 66 231 - 64 184 - 44 116 - 38 39 - 2
Mar 6 1253 65 54 57 65 174 - 78 115 - 39 56 - 31 19 - 1
Mar 5 1241 59 52 54 64 158 - 77 107 - 47 70 - 42 25 - 7
Mar 2 1234 53 46 52 63 159 - 84 90 - 68 62 - 61 24 - 18
Mar 1 1241 39 38 46 62 78 - 108 45 - 83 34 - 63 13 - 5
Feb 28 1239 37 38 48 62 79 - 122 46 - 109 35 - 92 16 - 25
Feb 27 1257 47 44 55 65 127 - 76 59 - 70 47 - 57 16 - 22
Feb 26 1267 41 44 54 64 103 - 54 56 - 41 43 - 32 14 - 6
Feb 23 1245 18 31 46 59 28 - 207 18 - 165 13 - 104 3 - 9
Feb 22 1252 24 37 50 61 39 - 207 30 - 165 23 - 109 7 - 10
Feb 21 1255 28 39 52 61 49 - 252 39 - 199 35 - 125 16 - 13

Nasdaq 100

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Mar 30 1573 34 20 8 16 10 - 30 6 - 18 0 - 18 0 - 15
Mar 29 1563 33 14 11 15 9 - 54 5 - 31 1 - 31 1 - 28
Mar 28 1602 37 17 11 15 6 - 29 2 - 24 1 - 23 1 - 20
Mar 27 1735 74 38 15 16 45 - 4 25 - 4 6 - 4 0 - 2
Mar 26 1676 52 21 11 16 18 - 7 7 - 5 0 - 4 0 - 3
Mar 23 1705 54 19 11 15 29 - 9 10 - 7 2 - 5 0 - 3
Mar 22 1701 51 15 10 14 39 - 14 14 - 14 5 - 12 0 - 6
Mar 21 1605 14 9 6 11 1 - 38 0 - 35 0 - 34 0 - 18
Mar 20 1614 5 4 8 13 3 - 53 1 - 45 0 - 36 0 - 26
Mar 19 1730 27 15 13 15 27 - 8 3 - 8 1 - 7 0 - 2
Mar 16 1647 2 5 7 12 1 - 53 0 - 51 0 - 42 0 - 29
Mar 15 1697 3 9 10 14 3 - 36 1 - 31 0 - 29 0 - 22
Mar 14 1745 15 15 13 17 0 - 25 0 - 24 0 - 23 0 - 11
Mar 13 1789 15 14 13 16 2 - 15 1 - 13 0 - 12 0 - 6
Mar 12 1680 2 6 10 14 0 - 92 0 - 75 0 - 67 0 - 38
Mar 9 1813 17 15 18 16 1 - 54 1 - 47 1 - 40 1 - 25
Mar 8 1938 44 26 23 21 12 - 25 8 - 17 5 - 15 2 - 12
Mar 7 1996 52 32 23 23 36 - 11 19 - 7 8 - 6 2 - 4
Mar 6 1976 53 24 25 21 42 - 6 17 - 5 7 - 4 1 - 3
Mar 5 1916 32 19 22 20 16 - 19 8 - 16 6 - 16 2 - 9
Mar 2 1881 22 15 20 20 5 - 43 4 - 39 2 - 38 1 - 23
Mar 1 1968 20 15 20 22 3 - 21 0 - 16 0 - 16 0 - 5
Feb 28 1908 18 14 20 22 3 - 56 2 - 53 2 - 52 0 - 28
Feb 27 1964 23 16 25 24 2 - 47 1 - 44 0 - 43 0 - 23
Feb 26 2097 41 23 30 26 31 - 16 12 - 15 6 - 14 1 - 4
Feb 23 2056 18 13 25 24 9 - 24 6 - 21 1 - 19 0 - 7
Feb 22 2032 11 11 24 25 5 - 46 2 - 42 1 - 38 0 - 15
Feb 21 2058 15 9 22 25 4 - 46 0 - 44 0 - 42 0 - 13

S & P 100

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Mar 30 591 64 34 23 36 27 - 12 18 - 8 3 - 8 1 - 2
Mar 29 584 54 25 17 34 25 - 16 14 - 11 4 - 11 1 - 6
Mar 28 588 49 20 16 37 18 - 20 10 - 17 2 - 16 1 - 3
Mar 27 605 67 30 19 37 48 - 8 21 - 8 3 - 7 0 - 1
Mar 26 588 41 13 11 33 17 - 6 6 - 6 2 - 5 0 - 1
Mar 23 580 22 9 8 28 13 - 22 4 - 21 3 - 19 0 - 3
Mar 22 567 13 7 7 27 9 - 70 2 - 69 2 - 59 0 - 11
Mar 21 569 8 7 14 34 7 - 54 2 - 54 2 - 43 0 - 11
Mar 20 581 4 13 25 37 5 - 39 1 - 32 1 - 28 0 - 5
Mar 19 597 15 16 23 41 13 - 16 3 - 15 2 - 13 0 - 4
Mar 16 587 2 7 21 36 2 - 56 2 - 51 1 - 40 0 - 10
Mar 15 600 8 12 23 36 2 - 39 1 - 32 1 - 23 0 - 2
Mar 14 596 5 9 21 38 1 - 72 1 - 53 1 - 42 0 - 4
Mar 13 613 15 25 37 46 1 - 48 1 - 29 1 - 16 0 - 2
Mar 12 601 21 29 40 48 1 - 63 0 - 38 0 - 34 0 - 11
Mar 9 633 56 50 46 55 8 - 18 8 - 14 6 - 12 1 - 3
Mar 8 651 75 62 56 57 52 - 8 44 - 6 27 - 4 7 - 1
Mar 7 650 69 52 53 56 50 - 13 35 - 10 20 - 8 4 - 0
Mar 6 645 60 45 49 55 28 - 11 16 - 6 6 - 6 3 - 0
Mar 5 638 55 42 47 54 28 - 14 19 - 8 12 - 8 6 - 0
Mar 2 633 48 40 43 54 32 - 25 23 - 21 14 - 18 4 - 5
Mar 1 641 41 32 39 53 16 - 24 9 - 21 6 - 15 1 - 2
Feb 28 640 39 32 39 54 16 - 22 10 - 21 6 - 20 2 - 6
Feb 27 650 51 41 48 54 28 - 17 11 - 17 8 - 12 1 - 6
Feb 26 655 44 42 46 53 28 - 11 13 - 8 10 - 7 2 - 2
Feb 23 642 15 29 39 49 3 - 35 3 - 29 2 - 26 0 - 5
Feb 22 647 24 33 43 48 8 - 35 6 - 27 5 - 22 0 - 3
Feb 21 647 25 34 45 49 8 - 54 6 - 48 5 - 37 2 - 4

AIQ market log (buy - sell ratios of signals for stocks >= 7 and ADV >= 75,000)

Unconfirmed Signals (US)
market DJIA SPX OTC Universe SPX OEX NDX
----------------- ------ ----- ----- -------- -------- -------- --------
Mar 30 9,878 1160 1840 65 - 35 85 - 15 100 - 0 50 - 50
Mar 29 9,799 1147 1820 73 - 27 75 - 25 80 - 20 33 - 67
Mar 28 9,785 1153 1854 63 - 37 60 - 40 70 - 30 0 -100
Mar 27 9,947 1182 1972 58 - 42 57 - 43 50 - 50 0 -100
Mar 26 9,687 1152 1918 70 - 30 65 - 35 62 - 38 67 - 33
Mar 23 9,504 1139 1928 74 - 26 77 - 23 76 - 24 50 - 50
Mar 22 9,389 1117 1897 95 - 5 97 - 3 96 - 4 83 - 17
Mar 21 9,487 1122 1830 97 - 3 100 - 0 100 - 0 100 - 0
Mar 20 9,720 1142 1857 95 - 5 100 - 0 100 - 0 100 - 0
Mar 19 9,959 1170 1951 95 - 5 100 - 0 100 - 0 100 - 0
Mar 16 9,827 1150 1890 96 - 4 100 - 0 100 - 0 100 - 0
Mar 15 10,031 1173 1940 95 - 5 100 - 0 100 - 0 100 - 0
Mar 14 9,972 1166 1972 96 - 4 100 - 0 100 - 0 100 - 0
Mar 13 10,290 1197 2014 85 - 15 93 - 7 100 - 0 83 - 17
Mar 12 10,208 1180 1923 82 - 18 79 - 21 79 - 21 87 - 13
Mar 9 10,644 1233 2052 63 - 37 46 - 54 40 - 60 86 - 14
Mar 8 10,858 1264 2168 60 - 40 42 - 58 29 - 71 57 - 43
Mar 7 10,729 1261 2223 66 - 34 48 - 52 45 - 55 67 - 33
Mar 6 10,591 1253 2204 73 - 27 57 - 43 73 - 27 67 - 33
Mar 5 10,562 1241 2142 80 - 20 62 - 38 69 - 31 75 - 25
Mar 2 10,466 1234 2117 86 - 14 77 - 23 75 - 25 79 - 21
Mar 1 10,450 1241 2183 91 - 9 82 - 18 85 - 15 85 - 15
Feb 28 10,495 1239 2151 91 - 9 81 - 19 80 - 20 87 - 13
Feb 27 10,636 1257 2207 90 - 10 81 - 19 77 - 23 86 - 14
Feb 26 10,642 1267 2308 92 - 8 86 - 14 75 - 25 83 - 17
Feb 23 10,441 1245 2262 95 - 5 91 - 9 90 - 10 94 - 6
Feb 22 10,526 1252 2244 93 - 7 85 - 15 86 - 14 95 - 5
Feb 21 10,526 1255 2268 90 - 10 81 - 19 90 - 10 95 - 5

March 30

Weighted Unconfirmed
Action List Daily Signals

Universe 80 - 20 65 - 35
S&P 500 (SPX) 82 - 18 85 - 15
S&P 100 (OEX) 81 - 19 100 - 0
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) 59 - 41 50 - 50

Nine Month Cycle

cycle tendencies
10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low
May 24 start start start 1361 none
Jun 16 green green green 1464 +103 1483 +122 N.A.
Jul 10 yellow green green 1475 + 11 1488 + 24 1436 - 28
Aug 2 red yellow green 1438 - 37 1517 + 42 1414 - 61
Aug 25 green yellow green 1506 + 68 1513 + 75 1426 - 12
Sep 15 yellow red yellow 1465 - 38 1530 + 24 1460 - 46
Oct 11 red red yellow 1364 - 99 1467 + 2 1349 -115
Nov 3 green green yellow 1426 + 62 1433 + 67 1305 - 59
Nov 27 yellow green yellow 1348 - 78 1438 + 12 1321 -105
Dec 20 red yellow red 1264 - 84 1389 + 41 1261 - 87
Jan 12 green yellow red 1318 + 54 1350 + 86 1254 - 10
Feb 03 yellow red red 1349 + 31 1385 + 67 1313 - 5
Feb 28 red red red 1239 -110 1354 + 5 1215 -134
Mar 23 red red red 1139 -100 1267 + 28 1081 -158
Apr 17 ??? ??? red 1160 + 21 1183 + 54 1136 - 3
May 9 ???

Sector Breadth

percent stocks over MA *********** 10-day highs/lows ************
sector (num) 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 3/30 3/29 3/28 3/27
---------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Aerospace/Defense (40) 58 23 15 53 3 - 4 4 - 7 3 - 8 3 - 3
Apparel (76) 53 41 34 66 12 - 7 10 - 6 3 - 15 9 - 11
Automotive (34) 41 21 24 35 2 - 5 1 - 7 0 - 7 4 - 1
Banks (107) 87 61 42 82 43 - 4 13 - 5 8 - 5 21 - 3
Biotechnology (152) 72 38 9 6 46 - 11 15 - 12 19 - 11 28 - 5
Building/Constr (97) 48 40 38 63 25 - 14 19 - 24 6 - 23 19 - 11
Chemical (57) 53 33 39 51 10 - 4 5 - 5 3 - 4 7 - 3
Commercial Svcs (160) 51 32 25 39 34 - 23 14 - 26 10 - 28 22 - 11
Computer Svcs (45) 51 27 20 27 7 - 4 4 - 8 0 - 7 7 - 1
Computer Equip (121) 31 26 12 12 11 - 25 3 - 50 1 - 47 18 - 7
Consumer Nondur (37) 59 32 35 41 7 - 5 2 - 6 1 - 4 5 - 4
Drug (ex-Biotech) (91) 82 60 24 26 33 - 2 22 - 9 16 - 3 25 - 5
Electronics (309) 42 29 11 8 35 - 45 14 - 78 6 - 52 64 - 16
Financial (104) 67 47 38 63 30 - 10 17 - 9 18 - 8 27 - 3
Foods (62) 66 48 37 76 18 - 6 8 - 11 9 - 10 9 - 6
Healthcare (90) 74 54 34 63 42 - 5 22 - 6 9 - 11 13 - 7
Household Prods (35) 43 23 26 46 4 - 4 0 - 8 0 - 10 4 - 7
Insurance (86) 77 55 45 65 43 - 3 18 - 9 8 - 12 5 - 10
Internet (196) 44 24 6 2 30 - 26 5 - 63 6 - 42 27 - 19
Leisure (95) 65 43 32 52 20 - 7 10 - 12 8 - 16 23 - 6
Machinery (44) 48 27 27 41 7 - 3 3 - 7 4 - 9 3 - 5
Media (81) 64 35 21 32 15 - 7 5 - 11 5 - 10 17 - 4
Medical Tech (117) 62 39 27 24 37 - 14 11 - 22 10 - 18 13 - 15
Metals (ex-Gold) (61) 59 26 30 38 12 - 3 2 - 12 1 - 12 1 - 8
Oil & Gas (174) 45 27 39 67 26 - 10 6 - 73 4 - 47 10 - 18
Paper Prods & Pkg (41) 59 32 32 51 8 - 2 2 - 5 3 - 5 10 - 4
Real Estate (116) 65 53 56 67 37 - 4 13 - 18 8 - 27 34 - 3
Retail (215) 62 53 45 64 55 - 12 40 - 25 22 - 34 45 - 16
Semiconductors (150) 33 25 11 2 14 - 29 4 - 37 2 - 24 35 - 10
Software (158) 39 26 13 18 18 - 20 6 - 39 6 - 36 30 - 7
Telecom (250) 34 17 7 4 27 - 50 9 - 82 4 - 70 49 - 18
Transportation (71) 65 42 30 48 18 - 4 8 - 11 6 - 10 22 - 2
Utilities (116) 83 68 56 66 57 - 5 31 - 3 18 - 7 27 - 3