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To: GST who wrote (122296)3/31/2001 7:59:23 PM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
>> I don't have time to do a personalized research report for you today

And I wasn't expecting that. I should have phrased it as "do you know, off the top of your head, of a source for this kind of data?"

Anyway, I am reluctant to accept your conclusion that continuing current account deficits automatically mean that our fine citizens borrowed money from outside and bought stocks. What did they use for collateral ? Their homes? Part of your model is they did not have savings. Either that, or their loans are unsecured. And what bank will lend on that basis ?

I have not read about home repossessions to pay for stock purchases. Without doing additional personalized research for me, have you read of any such thing ? How about the 1 million bankruptcies ? are they for stock ? probably not, since that has been happening before the bubble burst. And in any case the creditors are american banks. So I just don't see where is the supporting evidence for the idea that americans are buying stock with borrowed money.

Yes there is a large deficit (I don't know the diff between trade def or curr accnt). But what conclusions to draw ? I don't know ?



To: GST who wrote (122296)4/1/2001 1:05:07 PM
From: Victor Lazlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
<<the current account deficit >>

GST are you referring to Fed govt debt (bonds), private debt, or both?