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To: waverider who wrote (96622)	4/2/2001 7:00:38 PM
From: Michael Allard	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 152472

There is another factor to consider Diamond H - and that is the Baby Boomers. I believe they were a big part of the bubble and market run ups in the last 10 years, and they will be a significant factor in the future. The baby boomer generation is just hitting their prime earning potential, and the quantity of them will not peak until 2008. Between now and then, trillions and trillions of dollars will be invested in something. Now, you tell me what? Will it be bonds, treasuries, CD's, bank accounts or STOCKS. I choose the later. There is a very limited supply of public companies, and a heck of a lot of money to invest. Granted, you would be wise to exit the market by 2008, however.

To: waverider who wrote (96622)	4/2/2001 8:25:16 PM
From: Sawtooth	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 152472

<<There have been periods when over 10-20 years NOTHING HAPPENED. That was why people used to care about dividends.>> Rick, That's also why people diversify their wealth into different stocks (my utilities are doing quite well as my techs plummet; they also pay a decent divy), bonds, real estate, cash or cash equivalents, precious metals and other investments. Maybe some can call the tops and bottoms in all of these markets but I can't. I shoot for a consistent return on the total portfolio over a reasonable period of time. Some years are great; some so-so. Investing in stocks (or any other asset class) does not have to be an either - or, mutually exclusive decision. BWDIK. ......VVVVVVV

To: waverider who wrote (96622)	4/2/2001 8:40:48 PM
From: Jon Koplik	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 152472

Bro -- both M2 and M3 are growing rapidly now. Show me a period of time in the past when financial assets were stagnant coincident with a sharply expanding money supply ... and then maybe I will start reading every word in your posts again. Jon.

To: waverider who wrote (96622)	4/3/2001 1:13:20 AM
From: The Verve	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 152472

Rick, It sounds to me like you plan on re-entering the market when the signal is clear... Isn't that a form of timing? How does one know when the time to jump back in is? If one has investment capital that they don't need nor plan on touching for the next 10 years, what should they do? Dump it all in a CD? I think I see where you're coming from...your particular approach is best for you. If it allows you a certain amount of psychological comfort, then go with what feels right. It's hard to put a price on sleeping well at night. But I don't think you can come to the conclusion that we're due for a protracted bear market because of what happened from '97 to 00. Nobody absolutely knows what's going to happen in the future. One can make an educated guess, based on macroeconomic factors... What I DO know is, there's a whole mass of humanity that is getting up tomorrow morning, going to work, hustling to make things better for themselves and their families, buying technological tools to make their work easier and more productive. That ain't gonna stop anytime soon. I've got plenty of time and plenty of patience. In the meantime, I'm still singin'... "Gimme some of that ole-time ltb&h religion" Verve PS Kudlow on NAZ 10,000 by 2010 gilder.com I suppose one can fashion a strong case both for and against, depending on which side of the fence you find yourself on...