market talk from april 2nd
what a difference two days makes
DJ MARKET TALK: MarchFirst Has Some Problems
02 Apr 14:47
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 2:47 (Dow Jones) Better left halted? ... MarchFirst (MRCH) shares tumbled 60% to 6 cents apiece after Nasdaq lifted its trading halt Monday afternoon. The cash-strapped Web services firm, which sold some assets and handed over 2,100 workers to Divine (DVIN) on Friday, said earlier that it will lay off another 1,700 workers (30% of its remaining staff) and has further extended a $53M bank loan deadline. Oh yeah, it also said it continues to have "significant liquidity difficulties." (MLP) 2:41 (Dow Jones) New survey says "only" 21% of Americans think Fed's Greenspan "has done something foolish" recently. The survey, conducted by New York public relations consultant Jeff Barge with the assistance of Opinion Research Corp., found 85% of respondents feeling Bill Clinton had done something foolish lately. Barge says Greenspan results mean "it's going to be quite a hard sell for any elected officials to try to make Mr. Greenspan the scapegoat for a declining economy." (JC) 2:32 (Dow Jones) Don't look now, but it's another great call from Arnhold's John Roque. On Thursday, we touched on his concerns about the semis. Today, the SOX is off 9%. Roque says a close below 535 on the SOX points to 403. SOX off 51 at 493. (TG) 2:24 (Dow Jones) Morgan Stanley Dean Witter & Co. (MWD), a.k.a. Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Discover, has dropped its triple-word-score moniker for a streamlined, more recognizable name - Morgan Stanley. However, the brokerage firm will keep the full Morgan Stanley Dean Witter name for all of its legal filings, including its quarterly reports with securities regulators. (CUB) 2:16 (Dow Jones) An inventory correction for software companies? That's what Salomon Smith Barney sees. Analyst Heather Bellini notes that "shelfware" - software purchased by a client but yet to be deployed - increased during the 1Q. Now that excess must be implemented "before we see a significant pick up in new orders," Bellini says. When coupled with potential weakness in Europe and the fact many software vendors likely drained their backlogs to try for 1Q targets, it also suggests any weakness in 1Q will persist in 2Q. (MLP) 2:10 (Dow Jones) Ex-Treasury Secretary Summers is sounding gloomy. Asked at Wall Street conference whether he sees a V-shaped recovery, Summers said he didn't think the economy had seen its bottom. He sees the economy's trajectory looking more like a "parenthesis lying on its side." Some traders are saying his comments are behind some of the recent weakness in stocks. (MC/TG) 1:57 (Dow Jones) Shares of Winstar Communications (WCII) amassed the second-largest loss on the Nasdaq Monday as the company prepared its request for an extension in filing its annual report. The company cites uncertainty over "certain material transactions which have not yet been completed" in its request. Says annual report will be filed no later than April 17. Shares recently down 48%. (CBN) 1:49 (Dow Jones) More from Kaufman Brothers telecom analyst Vik Grover. He believes some on Wall Street have missed the fact that many chip makers are now indirectly serving carriers, whose spending plans dictate how many communications chips will be sold. "We think bandwidth is the new driver of the cycle ... the Internet is now being used as a giant supercomputer," he said, referring to less reliance by chip makers on personal computer sales. Grover also noted big telecom companies led the market down last year. (JDB) 1:40 (Dow Jones) Shares of Applied Micro Circuits (AMCC) fell 12% after the New York Times reported Sunday that the company's Chief Executive, David Rickey, sold 90%, or 800,000 shares, of his stake between July 2000, when the stock was trading at $100, and March 2, when the stock was at $29. The twist: Rickey had dared investors not to own AMCC stock twice on CNBC. A company spokeswoman said Rickey still remains "bullish" on AMCC's story. (DLF) 1:37 (Dow Jones) The Nasdaq Composite just extended its nearly 13-month bear market when it slipped below 1794.21. There's strong "bear trap" support around from 1770 to 1744 that could give the index a short-term lift. But if 1700 is taken out on a weekly close, the index is vulnerable to a dip into the 1460 support area, perhaps by mid-May. (SC) 1:34 (Dow Jones) Although investors are relieved that i2 Technologies' (ITWO) 1Q shortfall wasn't as dire as some feared, the company's woes could drag on for several quarters, warn Kash Rangan of Dain Rausher and CSFB's Brent Thill.
They say i2 remains too dependent on inking huge contracts to meet quarterly targets and it will take a couple of quarters to shift its sales focus to more moderate, but reliable, sized deals. (MLP) 1:28 (Dow Jones) Nasdaq Comp takes out bear-market intraday low of 1794.21, set March 22. Index off 47 at 1793. (TG) 1:27 (Dow Jones) June Nasdaq falls to limit down of 1548, 42 points lower, at 1:20 p.m. ET. A 10-minute trading curb is in effect. If the market remains at limit down, a 2-minute trading halt will occur. (ZHS) 1:19 (Dow Jones) June S&Ps and Nasdaq are in the midst of a technical-based fall. June S&Ps weren't able to hold support at 1171, floor traders note. The contract crossed resistance of 1177 to make a high of 1179, but it fell back again in early afternoon, and repeated attempts to rise above 1177 failed.
Meanwhile, June Nasdaq has extended losses ever since taking out support at 1581. (ZHS) 1:15 (Dow Jones) Bank of New York's (BK) bullish calls traded actively Monday, with at least one investor doing a "buy-write" involving the October 50 calls. The investor bought stock while selling out-of-the-money October 50 calls, earning between $590 and $600 a contract for selling the options. With the stock at $49.29, more than 1,400 contracts of the October 50 calls traded, compared with open interest of 98. These calls were at $6.50 at the Pacific Exchange. (KXT) 1:11 (Dow Jones) Looking for a leading indicator of a Nasdaq bounce back? Kaufman Brothers analyst Vik Grover posits that large-cap telecom companies like Sprint (FON), Global Crossing (GX) and WorldCom (WCOM) will break away and lead the market in terms of "positive excess returns during the summer." Grover said he disagrees with a common thesis he's hearing on the Street - that the chip sector will start to outperform before other sectors. "We believe the meltdown in technology will not end until chip suppliers and equipment manufacturers have gone through a prolonged period of pain," he said. (JDB) 1:01 (Dow Jones) Shares of Pacificare Health Systems (PHSY) rose 8% on anticipation of upcoming good news. Thursday, the company will host its annual investors meeting in Carlsbad, Calif. Goldman Sachs analyst Charles Boorady expects to hear the company's management speak confidently about achieving their price targets. A Thomson Financial/First Call survey of 15 analysts produced a 1Q estimate of 28 cents a share. (CAL) 12:50 (Dow Jones) DJIA reverses course, off 94 points after being up 114, which traders attribute to uncertainty over situation in China after Bush comments and market's predilection to sell into any strength. "Any rally is suspect until proven otherwise," said Brian Piskorowski, market analyst with Prudential. "We had some early strength and the response has been some profit taking." Another cause of pullback could be futures-related sell programs involving the blue chips, Piskorowski said. (KJT) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 04-02-01 02:47 PM |