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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (74281)4/5/2001 9:23:52 PM
From: Dave Kiernan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Prosperity (1981-1999/2000)
Inflation had caused lower demand so businesses turned their attention to efficiency: doing more with less resulting in lower prices. Global price competition increased and in order to survive businesses had to cut costs. This changed the mood to optimism once again. The stock market took off like a space shuttle. Everlasting prosperity ahead. And by creating even more debt we can now say we are experiencing a credit card economy.

Depression (1999/2000-2009)
Winters are hard but very healthy. During such a period too much debt, money and capacity will be eliminated. Debt liquidation will change the mood and pave the way for a depression. This will be reflected in a massive drop in stock prices (90% will be lost).

morphocycles.com



To: bobby beara who wrote (74281)4/5/2001 10:46:19 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
"Kondratieff"....woa BB....don't tell me you think we are now doing a Fibo of the 1600 to 5000 move...are you serious? First stop would be COMPX 2400 or so...

What gives?



To: bobby beara who wrote (74281)4/6/2001 12:01:09 AM
From: TraderXx  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
<<trader X, so did you get back today all the averaging down you been doing for the last two months you giddy bull you -lol- >>

LOL.....Hmmm....do I detect 'o bit of sour grapes my friend? Actually I'm a trader so I will trade the trend be it long or short. But the funniest part is that you and your "bearish" comrades here are so surprised to find a bullish point of view when the nasdaq has dropped 70%!!....C'mon my man...thats insane and its the same thing as those investors thinking the naz was going to shoot to the moon. Its called being able to call the market without following the sheep. The market is rampant with guys who either called the "end of the world" or " buy now because its going to the moon". But c'mon Bobby....I'll bet my ass you guys were shorting the market in late '98 claiming "theres no way the valuations can sustain their prices!".."its the end of the world!!"....all the while covering your shorts eventually succumbing to the markets' advance. C'mon...admit it won't ya little friend? But you see you missed the whole ride up missing out on those huge profits. My point being that excessiveness does no good on either side dude. Its great to hear and read comments on this board about the future outlook about the economy, but just by the amount of bearish comments kinda makes me think. But then again....sometimes I hear such arrogant remarks about how certain the economy and the market is going to hell and its so unnecessary. The bottom line is that nobody knows whats going to happen in the future so all we can do is give our opinions about how all of us see it. The market works in these cycles and it will move up again I am 100% sure of it. Its just the nature of it. Until then I'll just trade the trend.

Oh..by the way...did you get caught in the bloodbath today....or did you short some more?..you giddy bear you

LOL

TraderXx