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To: JMD who wrote (2907)	4/6/2001 7:35:33 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 74559

Hi Mike, Important ball you have thrown. I always give my most straight forward best, because it keeps matters simple ... for me. I honestly believe given half a chance, and there were plenty of these half chances in the past, the Chinse, from the top leadership to the common Mang on the street, admire US for its (a) dynamism, (b) straightforward attitude, (c) good fortune, (d) generousity, and most important of all (e) difference from old world Europe. Overwhelming vast majority do not at all associate US with 19th century imperialism/colonialism. Overwhelming vast majority at times believe US had only a problem with communism and in fact the majority has the same problem. Difficulty starts, when not given half a chance, when the US is perceived to be coming after China, as opposed to communism, and thus the changed mindset since the Belgrade bombing. That single event changed everything for the common Mang. The more thinking types realize all events go in cycles, phases, and all will go with the current, even after stagnating for a bit or back flow for a bit. But the common Mang is equivalent to the mass media in the US. And so here we are. The right and wrong of the E3 affair is not relevant, important, nor material. The apology is supremely critical, even if not right. The common Mang needs that half chance. Them three words, in whatever Clintonisque form, can be the most important three words for the next hundred years. Given the national character of the US, and the level of W in Oriental studies, I am not optimistic. As to the natural distrust ... culture, race, and China's size makes all the difference between Britain/France on the one hand and China on the other. As to crticality of realizing the changed nature of the game (China not equal USSR), simply look at the commerce facts, and 'cross shareholdings'. As to using Japan as a strategic pal vs. China ... with more friends like Japan, where would US be? And that is my straightforward view. Either way, gold has upside, either from eventual Chinese domestic demand, or from world instability, as a new kid wants to join the club, at the head table. Chugs, Jay