Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: StockOperator who wrote (5265)	4/6/2001 4:26:19 PM
From: ALTERN8	Respond to of 52237

Thank SO, we appreciate your TA work. Have a great weekend

To: StockOperator who wrote (5265)	4/6/2001 4:32:50 PM
From: JRI	Respond to of 52237

SO- Thanks and we look forward to it....I scanned about 15 FAVE charts including indices....a couple could potentially be bottoming...but none strongly so, the vast majority looked like they were still heading down... Anyway, I'll wait for your take.....thanks again... BTW- Any comments you have for BEAS, QCOM, SMH, SPY, and CHKP appreciated <G>

To: StockOperator who wrote (5265)	4/6/2001 6:41:22 PM
From: Michael Watkins	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

Hello SO & Thread, Reviewing the day's price action and I guess the best conclusion I can come to about the day is "it was a draw". Nasdaq futures: ottographs.com S&P futures: ottographs.com Given the huge move up on Thursday, and the prevailing sentiment, it doesn't seem that surprising that some sell sellers came out to lock in gains and to establish new short positions in anticipation of a fast clunk and test of recent lows. And this did not materialize... However in both markets pictured, an argument can be made that old resistance was providing support today. The development of a declining wedge on the SP and a triangle with a little trap on the ND adds a little more weight to the "its not dead, yet" argument. If what appears to be support now - intraday - fails, I guess we'll go back to the drawing board and see if a test sets up on the prior swing lows. As always, we should be prepared for the unexpected as well as the ordinary turn of events. And to round off the analysis, my gut says up too. But my trigger finger knows no bias, so next week we'll see which way it leans! Have a good weekend everyone, mw

To: StockOperator who wrote (5265)	4/7/2001 3:22:25 PM
From: Gersh Avery	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

Some fork thoughts for this weekend OK .. so we have had a day of short squeeze and a day of retrace. A few folks decided to start a run on the futures after the bell on Wednesday. Some stops were triggered to continue the move up. Cash had to be held back until the 4:30 AM time frame where someone had been selling our markets on a regular basis. The selling showed up and was offset at once by buying. The selling backed off to wait and see. After prices holding for an hour or two, some of the early bird folks started covering shorts into the open of the markets on Thursday. Cascaded from there. All of that effort and action only succeeded in driving the SPX to the mid black tine here: homestead.com Then yesterday the mid tine threw the index back again .. It's interesting that the red fork seems to be acting as support while the black as resistance. Since this pattern is tightening, I'll be watching closely to see which fork wins out. Additionally .. there is now a place to draw a small ascending fork on the SPX chart. I think that it is to thin to hold for long. Last weekend I noticed a small fork in the NDX. homestead.com That was wasted pretty quickly. If I use the start of the center and upper tines and the new low as the lower the resulting fork is descending. However, with the action on Thursday it just might be forming another right now. For that it would be nice to see it pull back enough to: form a wide channel fork that could have a chance to last for a while. And the fork not be so steep as to be outrageous (the NDX is not going to run up at rate of 9% per day for the next month<g>) A thin or very sharply ascending fork would fail quickly still within some of the large descending forks that are still very much in play. homestead.com homestead.com I took a look at the SPX new fork. It seems to me that for it to last will require this new NYA fork to hold. homestead.com This NYA fork would need to stay valid while the NDX was forming it's ascending fork in order for the new SPX ascending fork to stay valid. This would require the NDX to pull back but not hard enough to trash the SPX fork. I do not think that this new NYA fork will hold. It could well break down on Monday. However it might hold. This could then form a bottoming consolidation pattern .. (and the question is "are we there yet?") For the next day or two the NYA fork holds the key. If it fails then so will the new SPX fork. At that moment there will be no ascending forks left in the indexes (again). Only the down forks will be left ..

To: StockOperator who wrote (5265)	4/8/2001 11:35:46 PM
From: StockOperator	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

The pressure will be there for many of the major players this coming week. Despite the 400 pt move in the DOW on Thursday, the structure of the charts dictates that the distributions continues. This week will place great pressure on companies like ORCL, PMCS, SUNW, MYGN, JNPR, CSCO, SAWS, SNDK, KO, YHOO and SANM. The pressure is also there for the COMPX overall. The close on Friday for the DOW was also very bearish. The DOW is also on the cusp of buckling with stocks like MSFT, IBM, SFA, WMT, JPM, C trading in very tight ranges. These companies over the next couple of weeks will be FORCED to break in one direction or the other. A breakdown for any of them should be indicative of the group as a whole considering the fragile structure of the DOW overall. I think this will be the major item to watch during this timeframe. Breakdown from this level implies a much more drawn out bear market. It could also add months on to any type of bottoming action for equities as a whole.