SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Doug who wrote (74424)4/7/2001 7:23:52 AM
From: Square_Dealings  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
<when the CPI (Inflation) rises>

The only reason for the supposed low or non-existant inflation is the huge pile of debt. Instead of paying the price the government (local and Federal) has arranged to have it accumulate in large bags, like credit cards, homes, telecom mega-bonds for years. Also the public has been satisfied to have their entire future go into the stock market and a huge mortgage.

The debt exposure here relative to earnings power to pay it off is incredible. There are only two ways out of the current crisis imo. Let inflation do the job of slowing growth and weeding out the credit-worthiness of individuals and corporations, or massive debt default and a clearing of the books (carnage in the financial system)

The lowering of interest rates at this point only delays the agony because the debt pile gets deeper each time rates are lowered.

M.



To: Doug who wrote (74424)4/7/2001 12:42:19 PM
From: marginmike  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
or if interest rate changes dont bring down Real rates do to capital leaving USA bonds or surplus myth getting unraveled. In 32' the Fed actually raised rates to protect GOLD outflows.