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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: BirdDog who wrote (35512)4/8/2001 11:36:24 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Respond to of 65232
 
Bird Dog...constructive points, amigo (sorry if my initial tone was harsh, I misinterpreted your first post).

I agree that the Nasdaq is a different animal than in 1980 (or even in 1995). I agree that an isolated one day spike (in price) is generally meaningless, and not a good predictor of future price action (which was one of Allan's points). I think the gist of the "Lassie" part is that the increased frequency of huge daily PERCENTAGE PRICE changes is the thing that's new, and although there were small blips in '87, '91, '94 and '98 bear markets, its way, way, way off the scale now. Thus the comment by me that maybe staying in cash (T-bills) for a while makes sense, that maybe the increased volatility makes it harder to trade (or for that matter, to even hold) stocks long OR short. I think that's what the Lassie-to-English dictionary says <G>

Anyhow, nice having the discussion. Have a great week.

Regards

Patron