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Pastimes : The California Energy Crisis - Information & Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Tom Simpson who wrote (219)	4/9/2001 2:00:09 AM
From: WWS	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1715

Tom, here's a recent reference declaring that demand for electricity grew by 24% in California during the last five years of the century, much higher than expected. Complicating this demand growth was fact that no new in-state generating capacity had been added during the last decade of the 1900's, and also during the decade that population growth in neighboring AZ (40%), NV (66%), OR (20%) and WA (20%) greatly limited whatever surplus generation capacity that these neighbors could otherwise have been made available to CA. ******************* "WHAT TRIGGERED THE CRISIS The flaws of the market design prevented supply from keeping up with demand. Five years ago, when California passed its power restructuring legislation, the state had a surplus of power generating capability. Since that time, the California economy grew a phenomenal 32 percent, fueled by a 24 percent increase in electricity consumption. The fact that electricity use increased less than overall economic growth meant that the state was becoming more efficient in its use of power. Yet conservation and greater efficiency could not stem the need for additional supply. By 1998, demand growth had ended California’s power surplus. The record of the past five years is clear—California failed to approve the siting and permitting of anything near the 1,200 Mw needed each year to keep demand and supply in balance. As a result, far too few new power plants were added to California’s power sector over the past five years. Moreover—and this point needs to be faced—not enough power plants are currently under construction to end this shortage in the near term. " ************************ energy.senate.gov

To: Tom Simpson who wrote (219)	4/9/2001 2:50:40 AM
From: DavesM	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1715

Acutally this situation was upon us last spring (from the Cal ISO website - caliso.com) Electrical Emergencies declared by Cal Iso in 2000 May 22, 2000 Stage Two Electrical Emergency declared June 13, 2000 Stage One: June 14, 2000 Stage One declared June 26, 2000 Stage Two: June 27, 2000 Stage Two declared June 28, 2000 Stage Two: June 29, 2000 Stage One declared July 19, 2000 Stage Two: July 20, 2000 Stage One declared July 24, 2000 Stage One: July 25, 2000 Stage One declared July 28, 2000 Stage One: July 31, 2000 Stage Two declared August 1, 2000 Stage Two: August 2, 2000 Stage Two declared August 3, 2000 Stage Two: August 4, 2000 Stage One declared August 11, 2000 Stage Two: August 14, 2000 Stage Two August 15, 2000 Stage Two: August 16, 2000 Stage Two August 17, 2000 Stage Two: August 22, 2000 Stage One August 25, 2000 Stage One September 12 Stage One: September 13 Stage Two September 14 Stage One: September 18 Stage Two September 20 Stage One November 13 Stage One: November 16 Stage One November 14 Stage Two: November 15 Stage Two November 20 Stage Two December 18 Stage One: December 4 Stage Two December 5 Stage Two: December 6 Stage Two December 9 Stage Two: December 10 Stage Two December 11 Stage Two: December 12 Stage Two December 13 Stage Two: December 14 Stage Two December 19 Stage Two: Decmeber 20 Stage Two December 7 Stage Three I thought there was a Stage 3 declared last summer, but I could not find it. Actually, I was stunned by the number, I hope I'm wrong. What I did was look for news releases from the ISO of Electrical Stage Alerts and looked at the date of the release.