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To: AllansAlias who wrote (92149)	4/10/2001 10:54:03 AM
From: Lucretius	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

look at the bonds...

To: AllansAlias who wrote (92149)	4/10/2001 11:29:28 AM
From: Perspective	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

I like silly, too. Silly makes the decision-making very easy. Hopefully gut feel and TA get you into a position to take advantage of silly. I'm hoping I've got enough dry powder to take advantage of it when it tops out here. Got to admit feeling a little overweight on the short side, even though I've been lightly invested. The failure of the last low (the levels we're now trying to get back up through) caught me without enough shorts for my taste, so I reluctantly added a few into the weakness. Covered some, but it's now a net loss. Guess I shoulda waited for a higher probability entry. That darned rule again: In A Bear Market, Stay Short. I didn't stay short, and it cost me. Of course then I compounded the error by not picking up some more insurance yesterday; I was a little gunshy thanks to being whipped on the last "bottom". Grrrr... In any event, this resistance is holding on the first shot. Guess I'll reduce exposure just a tad further into the weakness. One more smaller wave up to complete ABC? Looks like 2-3% more on Spoos, NYA would complete the move. No idea how much more on Naz, but I'm guessing another 5% possible. BC

To: AllansAlias who wrote (92149)	4/10/2001 11:31:05 AM
From: Shack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

It is apparent, if you believe in that cycle stuff , that the buyable low came a day early on the 5th and that we rally through the 23rd. That is the road map I am using but heinz also called for a short-term turn on the 12th which I would expect to come a day early as well (now tomorrow). Should be good short/put opportunities today and tomorrow.