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To: Perspective who wrote (92594)4/10/2001 10:52:47 PM
From: AllansAlias  Respond to of 436258
 
BC,

I am close to shutting things down here at the old homestead so I will defer a serious answer to your post until I have taken a look at things in the morning.

As of checking out today before the close, all I saw was the need for one more leg up, the 5 of the 'c' you referred to. Yes, I have a hard time imagining a variety of targets, 10,300 on the rummy one and 520 on smelly. There are equally hard targets on some of the other majors.

I just didn't feel like bearing down tongiht. We'll get to it in the morning. I'll be interested to get your feedback.



To: Perspective who wrote (92594)4/11/2001 8:43:13 AM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
BC,

I just don't know here. I was confident yesterday in seeing more up and was able to profit from it, but here I do not know. It "feels" like it has more to go, but the minimum requirements for a lower degree correction are satisfied. The consensus that this rally is real seems widespread to me, although p/c's have not collapsed far enough just yet to read this overconfidence. I just don't think we have enough skepticism for a sustained rally.

It's moving fast so far and reminds me of the early Dec rally.

My feeling has always been that this is a 4 in non-tech and I am sticking to that until it becomes untenable. If we blow up through 10,300 in the Dow I'll be awfully impressed. The non-tech indices have more air above them or at least are further away from the equivalent barrier that 10,300 represents. The S&P and OEX is trying to climb back into the Sept down channel -- it's sort of sliding right in a range, but should be freer to move upward once it gets inside.

At this point I feel as I did the last 7 or 8 trading days in January -- don't play big, but be patient, this will roll soon.